Asking the Crowd the Right Question: Bias-Cancelling Weights for Federated Learning

A federated objective is a weighted sum of client risks, and the weights are almost always fixed in advance. We treat them instead as the only instrument of a wisdom-of-crowds mechanism: clients are noisy views of one truth, each seeing it through an independent distortion that is unbiased across the crowd. That the optimal weights are inversely proportional to the clients' error energies is classical; we begin at the question that answer presupposes, which energies belong there and whether a crowd can recover them from itself. Excess risk on the truth is of the exact order of the aggregate bias energy, so no optimizer can repair a bad weight vector; the truth itself is identifiable only up to a linear tilt, so subtracting estimated client biases provably reproduces uniform weighting. The expected per-client second moments, however, are exactly identified from the law of the crowd's disagreement by a well-conditioned linear inversion, a step random-effects meta-analysis cannot take because a source reports once; their realized counterparts are estimable up to an incoherence floor the algorithm can measure. This yields CROWD, which reads the disagreement off the optimization trajectory at no extra cost and matches a Bayesian minimax lower bound in the same constant: per instance as the horizon grows, and unconditionally as the prior becomes diffuse. For arbitrary distortions it stays competitive with the optimal weights, at a ratio governed by a geometric incoherence the algorithm can measure. On real scans split into sites with their own miscalibrated detectors it attains the oracle excess risk; on a companion federation that pulls bias and noise apart, weighting by noise variance is worse than not weighting at all, and CROWD is not.

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General-purpose robots must perform a wide range of tasks from agile locomotion to dexterous manipulation. While sim-to-real reinforcement learning (RL) has proven to be a useful tool for this goal, current RL pipelines depend on engineering-heavy, per-task structural priors such as shaped rewards and demonstrations. Recent work has shown that diverse simulator resets, combined with massively parallel simulation, can alleviate much of this engineering burden on several manipulation problems. However, we find that naively scaling this paradigm to more precise or dynamic problems remains non-trivial. While simulator resets can help with exploration, uniformly sampling over this distribution wastes a growing fraction of learning experience on task configurations the policy has already mastered or cannot yet attempt. This makes it challenging to see the expected benefits of scaling parallel environments for RL, since much of the learning signal in a batch is wasted during learning. To mitigate this, we introduce Success Guided Sampling (SGS), a simple adaptive sampler that concentrates RL training on task configurations around the frontier of the policy's capabilities. Doing so allows large-scale simulated RL to make the most out of the experience in a batch, enabling much more effective scaling to large-scale parallel simulation. Across experiments using up to 2^{20} (over one million) parallel environments, SGS enables RL to solve challenging multi-terrain quadruped locomotion and contact-rich assembly tasks that prior methods fail to solve. Finally, we distill the learned manipulation policies into RGB-based policies and demonstrate zero-shot transfer to several challenging assembly tasks on real hardware. Project website: https://sgs-rl.github.io/.

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In 2026, cybersecurity evaluations involving OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google agents reached real systems outside their authorized test scope. The paths were different. OpenAI agents exploited research infrastructure, coordinated across runs, and compromised parts of Hugging Face's production environment. Anthropic reported cases in which a misconfigured third-party environment exposed real systems to agents pursuing simulated cyber tasks. In a separately reported evaluation, Google's Gemini accessed three real organizations through an unintended internet route; Google stated that the model stopped in all three instances. Taken together, the cases show why an evaluation cannot rely on an assumed boundary. That boundary must be verified while the agent is operating. This comparative instrumental case study develops a Proactive Agent Security Assurance Cycle (PASAC) and a five-layer Boundary Assurance Stack. The framework combines risk-tiered task design, executable scope contracts, pre-run validation, least-capability access, independent egress enforcement, credential restrictions, cross-run monitoring, automatic stop conditions, and evidence-based reauthorization. A leading-indicator model, nine design propositions, and seven falsifiable hypotheses turn these lessons into a testable research program. Because the public Gemini record is limited to attributed statements and journalism, its detailed causal mechanism remains provisional. The central conclusion is straightforward: proactive agent security requires continuous assurance across the full execution system, not confidence in any single sandbox or safeguard.

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