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Caught in the Act: Probes Effectively Detect Sabotage and Catch Unverbalized Deception

Recent incidents have highlighted the challenge of monitoring LLM agents and the danger of models deceiving people. We show that white-box deception detection via probes can be scaled up to frontier monitoring settings by collecting the largest deception dataset to date for training probes and introducing a novel probe architecture which can aggregate information across many layers and tokens. Our probes achieve 98.8% AUC in SHADE-Arena, surpassing an Opus 5.5 text-monitoring baseline, and show improved efficacy as the underlying model is scaled up. To push our probes to their limit, we test them on several cases where deception cannot be determined from the context alone. In these cases, which we refer to as introspective deception, the ground truth can only be determined through careful elicitation or thorough knowledge of a model's training data. In one such evaluation, we show that probes can distinguish transcripts containing a model's true hidden goal from other goals with an AUC of up to 99.7%. Our probes also readily detect deception on prominent open-weight models which lie about politically sensitive topics, and about their beliefs when put under pressure. We release our training dataset, dubbed FIBS, to help drive frontier deployment of effective probes, and encourage the community to expand upon it with further examples of deception and sabotage.

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FastBench: Can Streaming VLMs Perceive High-Dynamic Real-World Streams?

Streaming Video Large Language Models (VLMs) enable continuous video understanding, yet existing benchmarks focus on low-dynamic scenarios. Under bounded context budgets, models must balance temporal history, spatial resolution, and temporal granularity; sparse sampling at 1--2 FPS misses fast events. We introduce FastBench to evaluate high-dynamic perception in real-world video streams. Its trajectory-grounded pipeline combines QA generation from high-FPS clips, filtering of questions answerable at 2 FPS, answer verification using SAM3 and CoTracker3 trajectories, and three rounds of human inspection. FastBench contains 306 QA pairs across eight domains, six capabilities, and forward, instant, and backward temporal scopes, with human-annotated evidence intervals. We also present ProactiveFrame, a training-free baseline that adjusts incoming frame rates through text tokens. A dual-tier sliding window retains recent high-FPS observations while downsampling older ones into sparse history. Experiments reveal substantial limitations: the strongest model, Gemini-3.5-Flash, scores only 50.7%. Denser sampling improves Qwen3-VL-8B from 32.9% at 2 FPS to 44.6% at 24 FPS, but gains saturate as history is compressed. ProactiveFrame outperforms sparse uniform sampling by 5.4 and 1.5 percentage points, yet remains well below oracle-guided focusing, showing that current VLMs struggle to determine from the stream alone when finer temporal perception is needed. FastBench provides a testbed for high-dynamic streaming video understanding. Code and data: https://github.com/Ashone3/FastBench.

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WOVEN: Weaving Visual World Modeling into Multimodal LLMs

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) struggle with spatial, embodied, physical, and temporal reasoning. We hypothesize that these failures reflect a shared deficit in visual transition reasoning, and test whether this capability can serve as a shared training primitive, one that different models can learn from different supervision sources and reuse across different tasks, with a systematic training recipe. Existing benchmarks document these deficits separately but do not support controlled comparisons across scenes, actions, and reasoning operations. We therefore introduce WOVEN, a training source and benchmark for visual transition reasoning that organizes transition supervision by scene, action, and reasoning type, using diverse, realistic rollouts from video-pretrained generative models: 36,076 examples across 20 scene types, 5 action types, and 8 reasoning types. We first evaluate 38 frontier MLLMs (e.g., GPT-5.4 and Qwen3-VL-235B-A22B) and find a substantial and systematic deficit: even the strongest models fall far below humans, and the failures recur across model families and persist with scale. We then train MLLMs at multiple scales on WOVEN and find that they learn a shared capability that transfers broadly: training subsets of only about 2,000 items each collectively improve 22 of 26 external benchmarks by up to 27.3 percentage points, and WOVEN data can replace 30-50% of a task's own training data with comparable accuracy. Controlled comparisons further yield a training recipe for visual world modeling, validated prospectively on held-out benchmarks: select supervision by the reasoning operation it teaches rather than by the actions, scenes, or domains it shows, and prefer larger changes to the visual state for robustness. Our work establishes visual transition reasoning as a reusable foundation for systematic visual world-model training in MLLMs.

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Predicting Alignment Generalization with Value Representations

LLM developers post-train their models to exhibit prosocial values and behavioral traits, which are enumerated in an alignment target. However, while recent post-training developments have yielded models that score highly on alignment evaluations, training models on sets of narrow behaviors still influences their behavior across unseen contexts and environments in unexpected ways. In this paper, we establish the task of alignment generalization prediction, i.e., predicting how fine-tuning a model to follow a given value changes its behavior across a wide range of held-out values. We conduct a large-scale analysis of alignment generalization effects across 66 values found in modern alignment targets, and benchmark representational techniques on the alignment generalization prediction task. We find that representations based on model activations when applying values in context significantly outperform methods based on textual descriptions of the values. Specifically, the best activations-based methods achieve correlations of 0.45 with our generalization matrix, compared with 0.05 from description-based baselines. We then show the applicability of representations that predict alignment generalization toward downstream tasks by using them to measure how similar the values in a multi-value alignment target are, which we find is significantly correlated with model robustness. Finally, we show initial evidence towards a shared, model-independent value space, which we use to develop the first taxonomy of LLM values grounded in empirical generalization dynamics. Our work demonstrates the importance of studying value generalization in LLMs and its application toward the more empirical design and training of model behavior.

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SpaceCast-Bench: Evaluating Predictive Spatial Reasoning in Vision-Language Models

Existing spatial reasoning benchmarks mainly test spatial perception: reading off relations already visible in the input. Yet real-world spatial intelligence demands predictive spatial reasoning: constructing a scene from observations, anticipating how an intervention changes it, and reasoning about the unseen outcome. We introduce SpaceCast-Bench, the first benchmark to directly and diagnostically evaluate this capability. Built around an observe-transform-infer framework, its 3,862 questions from 182 real-world scenes span 16 task types at three levels: static perception, local prediction, and global prediction, progressively requiring scene understanding, spatial state updating, and relational inference over unobserved outcomes. Evaluating 21 models exposes a stark gap: the strongest model reaches only 58.0% against 87.2% human performance, while spatially specialized models remain near random chance. Controlled analyses further reveal that bridge views are critical for integrating distributed observations, and that explicit 3D evidence benefits models more reliably than generated outcome images or videos. Fine-tuning on our programmatically generated data lifts Qwen3-VL-4B from 34.0% to 65.7% with macro-average gains across six out-of-domain benchmarks.

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GeoReform: Reflective Formalization Evolution for Multimodal Geometry Problem Solving

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) often struggle to identify and use geometric relations in diagrams. Recent methods address this challenge by converting geometric entities, relations, and constraints into explicit textual representations for the model to reason over. However, effective formalization is highly non-trivial: on Geometry3K, structure injection fixes 28 errors but introduces 13 new ones among 200 examples. Redundant relations can distract the model, while ambiguous references to diagram elements can lead it to apply constraints incorrectly. This suggests that the key challenge is not merely extracting more geometric facts, but organizing them into representations that support downstream reasoning. To fully exploit the power of formalization, we further propose GeoReform, a reflective formalization evolution framework that treats formalization as an optimizable policy rather than a fixed parser output. GeoReform executes the full reasoning pipeline, collects failed rollouts, diagnoses defects in the current representation, and mutates the policy to better select, ground, group, and present geometric entities, relations, constraints, and targets. On Geometry3K, GeoReform improves Qwen3VL-2B accuracy from 42.0\% to 56.0\%. Extensive experiments and analyses across geometry reasoning benchmarks demonstrate that effective formalization is crucial for improving multimodal geometry reasoning.

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Long Text to Predictive Features: LLM-Guided Blockwise Feature Engineering via Executable Program Search

Industrial risk-control systems typically rely on structured-data models for efficient prediction, yet substantial valuable information remains embedded in unstructured long text. Extracting this information through manual feature engineering is labor-intensive, while requiring a large language model (LLM) to process every real-time input may not meet practical deployment requirements. To address this challenge, we propose LLM-BlockFE, an LLM-guided offline feature construction framework that converts long text into executable feature programs, thereby avoiding LLM calls during online inference. LLM-BlockFE constructs feature programs by incrementally appending immutable code blocks and evaluates candidate features using a downstream model. To address the tendency of conventional greedy search to become trapped in suboptimal solutions, our method introduces a block-level rollback mechanism based on depth-calibrated credit allocation and advances multiple independent search trajectories in an interleaved manner, reducing redundant exploration by sharing fixed descriptions of each trajectory's exploration direction. After the search, the resulting programs are frozen and deployed to extract structured features for downstream prediction models. Across two public and two private datasets, LLM-BlockFE achieves absolute AUC improvements of 0.0069 to 0.0358 over the strongest baseline on each dataset in the full-dataset comparison. Post-launch monitoring across five deployed financial risk-control applications shows absolute KS improvements of 0.02 to 1.56 percentage points over the existing manually designed strategy.

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OnTrack: Real-Time Monitoring and Intervention in LLM Agent Trajectories via Streaming Structure-Aware Optimal Transport

Agents are deployed in applications from trip planners and stock trading to IT incident triage. In most cases, LLM agents work autonomously with minimal rule-based safeguarding, leading to cost and safety issues from irreversible actions. Recent works resolve this either by using a safeguard agent to monitor behavior or evaluating logs post-hoc. The first adds cost and latency to every step; the second delivers its verdict after the run, when tokens are burned and damage is done. To overcome this, we propose OnTrack, a streaming monitoring mechanism that compares an agent's steps and dependencies against recorded successful runs to alert users or block the agent in about a millisecond per step. We study this problem in three regimes of decreasing access: full reference access (historical runs and tool schemas), intermediate access (only tool schemas), and no prior knowledge (only step logs as generated). Expectation of OnTrack's monitoring capabilities reduces as data access drops, ranging from plan violation detection to identifying loops, stalls, and repeated tool calls. Finally, we evaluate OnTrack using SWE-bench trajectories. Based on the first 8 steps, our method ranks failing trajectories below succeeding ones better than content similarity approaches (+0.057 AUROC). With an abort policy, we save about 18% of compute that would be burned on failing runs, where 83% of interrupted runs were actually heading to failure (5 out of 6 aborts were correct).

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Which Skill to Distill? SGUID: Selecting a Compact Skill Bank for Model-Skill Co-Evolution

Skills, reusable procedural guidance added at inference, can substantially improve LLM downstream performance (Li et al., 2026). Prior work retrieves skills from a bank by semantic relevance, then uses them as inference-time patches or for model distillation. The individual utility of each skill, however, is largely neglected. We first show that, in on-policy distillation where skill-conditioned policies serve as teachers, fewer than 25% of retrieved skills provide useful distillation signals. We then propose SGUID, a method for selecting a compact subset of skills for distillation. SGUID retains a skill only if it consistently yields effective learning signals during training. The selected skills are then distilled to produce a better model. Our results show that not all skills are worth distilling. Across four models from the Olmo and Qwen families, distilling 6 selected skills matches or exceeds full-bank distillation in mean avg@12 on three of the four models, and on all four after a second round that distills 3 newly selected skills, while the full banks are up to 11x larger. Importantly, SGUID supports stable model-skill co-evolution: after a distillation round, a new candidate bank is curated from the updated model's rollouts, and SGUID selects which skills to internalize next. In the second round, this loop selects 3 new skills and improves Qwen3-8B from 64.3% to 66.3%. The selection step is essential for stability: on Qwen3-4B, naively updating the model with unfiltered skills degrades performance, including a 0.3 percentage point drop on HMMT25, whereas SGUID improves HMMT25 by 0.5 points after the first round and 1.1 points after the second. These results identify skill selection as the key mechanism for stable model-skill co-evolution.

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Cited but Not Consulted: A Counterfactual Audit of Legal Chain-of-Thought Faithfulness

Large language models increasingly justify legal decisions by naming the statute or precedent behind a verdict, treated as evidence that the decision follows from it. We test this directly: holding case facts fixed, we substitute the named legal authority for an unrelated one and decode a model's evolving verdict from its hidden states. Across seven open-weight models (8B-70B) and four benchmarks spanning judicial and contractual reasoning, when explicitly required to justify a verdict by naming the governing authority, models name the correct one in 66.7%-100% of generations, while the verdict changing when the authority changes is far less consistent: 0.0%-21.7% on CaseHOLD, 30.0%-76.7% on ECHR and SCOTUS, and 43.3%-50.0% on ContractNLI. Neither scale nor a purpose-built legal-reasoning model (a best-effort LoRA reproduction; Section 6) closes this gap. A red-teaming evaluation on five core models finds compliance with an adversarial instruction hidden in the case facts (73.3%-96.4%) exceeds verdict-swap sensitivity by a wide margin, holding without exception across model rankings. Naming a legal authority is thus a poor proxy for a verdict's dependence on it, while the same verdict remains separately vulnerable to adversarial manipulation. Both findings replicate across checks ruling out prompt-wording noise and confounded sampling, and bear directly on the use of generated legal explanations as compliance or audit artefacts.

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Accurate but Not Humble: Evaluating Epistemic Humility in LLM Agents under Knowledge Conflict

When retrieved evidence contradicts an agent's prior beliefs, does it revise its answer, acknowledge uncertainty, or persist with an incorrect conclusion? Existing evaluations of agentic systems focus primarily on task success, offering limited insight into how agents handle such conflicts. We propose to evaluate agents on epistemic humility (EH): the agent's willingness to recognize, act on, and communicate uncertainty during task execution. We operationalize EH through three trajectory-level behavioral dimensions: Identify, Solve, and Escalate (ISE). Through knowledge conflict, situations where the backbone language model's parametric knowledge contradicts the evidence it encounters, or where two contextual sources disagree, we evaluate two conflict settings: (1) controlled conflict and (2) naturally occurring conflict during multi-step agentic execution, each paired with matched no-conflict controls. Evaluating four agents, we find that higher task accuracy does not necessarily correspond to greater epistemic humility: some high-accuracy configurations recognize conflicts during execution but do not communicate unresolved uncertainty in their incorrect final answers. Trajectory-level analysis further reveals that agents frequently detect conflicts in early steps of execution but fail to maintain or resolve them in later steps. Finally, we show that model-level interventions can improve EH, but often at the cost of task accuracy, suggesting that epistemic humility emerges from the interaction among the backbone model, agent harness, and evaluation environment.

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Distilling Routed 3D Privilege for Spatial Reasoning in Vision-Language Models

Spatial reasoning remains a persistent weakness of vision-language models (VLMs), because RGB inputs do not directly provide geometric evidence. Existing remedies either inject 3D into the model at inference, paying architecture and latency costs, or train with outcome rewards that supervise only the final answer. Spatial errors originate in perception: a misjudged depth or direction can be corrected only by the scene's true geometry, which the 3D-scanned sources of spatial training corpora already provide. We propose GPD (Geometry-Privileged Distillation), which makes geometric evidence the privilege in on-policy self-distillation (OPSD). For each question, depth, semantic, and bird's-eye-view (BEV) cues are rendered as compact text and routed to the teacher alongside the reference answer; a privileged KL, applied only to incorrect trajectories, augments GRPO, and the deployed model remains RGB-only. On the 4B backbone, GPD achieves 57.1 on VSI-Bench and 37.6 average across MindCube, SPARBench, MMSI-Bench, and ViewSpatial, outperforming both GRPO and answer-privileged OPSD across spatial reasoning benchmarks. Ablations confirm the complementarity of 3D and answer privilege, the advantage of question-conditioned routing over full-context injection, and the benefit of restricting distillation to incorrect trajectories.

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Overcoming Prior Barriers: Supervised Fine-Tuning under Long-Tail Distribution

Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) adapts pretrained large language models (LLMs) to downstream tasks, but the required concepts can receive substantially different levels of pretrained support. Frequent concepts are more likely to be well learned, whereas rare concepts may remain weakly represented. We introduce a novel notion named prior barrier to quantify how strongly the pretrained model supports competing concepts over the target concept. We observe that prior barriers follow a long-tail distribution, placing head and tail concepts at different starting points for SFT: head concepts face lower prior barriers, whereas tail concepts require additional instructions to overcome their higher prior barriers. Our theoretical analysis further derives a predictive risk bound for SFT under long-tail prior barriers, explicitly characterizing how the prior barrier and accumulated SFT evidence jointly determine predictive performance. Motivated by this prior barrier-dependent demand, we propose PASS, an adaptive SFT instruction selection method that constructs reference-derived concepts and estimates the distinguishing evidence provided by each instruction, and adaptively allocates the selection budget toward concepts that remain insufficiently covered under the current selection. In this way, PASS jointly considers which instructions can provide useful evidence and where additional supervision is needed under a limited budget. Experiments show that our method consistently outperforms seven state-of-the-art instruction selection methods on four backbone-budget settings. An ablation study further shows that PASS's adaptive allocation consistently improves over uniform allocation.

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VFold: Symmetry-Aware Cross-Layer Value Cache Compression

While caching key-value (KV) states accelerates Large Language Model (LLM) decoding, this cache can dominate memory usage at long context lengths. One solution is to compress this memory by exploiting inter-layer cache similarities. However, most existing techniques necessitate architectural changes to LLMs and incur substantial overhead. In this work, we propose a symmetry-aware value cache merging strategy that reduces cache memory while avoiding both harmful performance degradation and architectural overhead during decoding. Furthermore, we show that this approach can be exploited alongside existing cache compression techniques, composing with high-ratio quantization or key cache pruning to reach compression ratios that neither method reaches alone, with minimal additional cost. Ultimately, our findings reveal a major source of underutilized capacity in the value cache, offering a simple yet highly effective direction for scaling context windows under memory constraints.

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arXiv AI Papers

A 3D Characterization Framework for Intelligent Sequential Decision Making

Puzzles are widely used to evaluate the reasoning capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) systems for sequential decision making, yet approaches originating from different paradigms are rarely compared under unified conditions. To address this gap, we introduce a three-dimensional characterization framework that enables the analysts of AI methods by 1) projecting them to the Markov decision process (MDP) sequential decision making formalism, 2) degree of autonomy through human prior ranking of their designs and, 3) skill and computational cost. Using this framework, we analyze how representative graph-based, reinforcement learning, and large language model (LLM)-based approaches differ in their design choices and performance characteristics, instantiated respectively by Neurosolver, forward-backward reinforcement learning (FBRL), and automated thought-of-search (AutoToS), including a double-agent extension of thought-of-search (DA-ToS). The analysis relies on the Tower of Hanoi puzzle that provides a controlled benchmark with well-defined rules and scalable complexity, enabling consistent comparison across increasing problem sizes. The 3D characterization reveals that LLM-based methods, due to their weakly constrained action-space design, shift complexity from architecture to inference-time verification, leading to substantially higher memory and runtime costs than Neurosolver and FBRL.

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arXiv AI Papers

TRACE: Diagnosing Verifier Brittleness in Agentic Evaluation

Verifier scores now serve as both benchmark metrics and training rewards for large language model (LLM) agents, and a change in score is routinely read as a change in capability. It may instead reflect a change in the evaluation. We introduce TRACE, a protocol that turns a score change from a verdict into a testable diagnosis: it applies a targeted change to one part of an evaluation, compares paired runs, checks whether the agent's behavior changed, and rescores unchanged trajectories to test whether the scoring rule is responsible. In a controlled suite of 25 synthetic tasks, renaming tools lowers a scripted agent's score by 0.250 even though it performs exactly the same operations; restoring the original names at scoring time closes the entire gap, while the same mutation exposes a genuine behavioral failure in a second agent. On public τ^2-bench tasks with four LLM agents, an initial 30-task study finds mixed reward changes whose one clear effect does not replicate. In a larger follow-up on 88 new tasks with repeated runs per condition, renaming tools or reformatting tool outputs leaves reward unchanged to within 0.10 for seven of eight agent-change pairs, whereas tool names that deliberately mislead lower every agent's reward by 0.20-0.44, showing that the setup can detect real effects. Identical reruns flip 15-36% of task outcomes, so single-run comparisons cannot separate presentation effects from run-to-run variation. Two frontier LLM judges give consistent verdicts when a fixed trajectory is presented differently, yet disagree with each other on 57% of the same records, largely because one grades procedure rather than outcome. TRACE thus separates what a score change says about the agent from what it says about the measurement.

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