Uncertainty estimation for Vision-Language-Navigation (VLN) models is a critical task since it can help identify ambiguous and unreliable predictions, enabling agents to make safer navigation decisions. As one of the most advanced uncertainty estimation frameworks, conformal prediction (CP) offers a promising approach for uncertainty estimation in VLN. However, given that VLN agent requires a sequence of steps, standard calibration in conformal prediction fails to provide coverage guarantee it promises over a dependent, variable-length VLN episode. To this end, we propose Episode-Normalized Conformal Prediction (ENCP), which rescales a nonconformity score by the policy's residual confidence and calibrates one maximum score per episode. Under exchangeable calibration and test episodes, this construction covers the ground truth at every step with probability at least 1 - α, while allowing dependence among steps within an episode. Across four VLN policies and three nonconformity scores on R2R and REVERIE dataset, ENCP meets all reported empirical step-coverage targets on the seen-to-unseen evaluation. These results demonstrate that ENCP can provide model-agnostic uncertainty estimates, which might be useful for determining when a VLN agent should defer to a more capable predictor, including human assistance.
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Ver preçosLLM assistants are widely used for daily social advice, yet evaluating their social reasoning in such consultation settings remains challenging since (i) it requires setups where the assistant learns about social situations from subjective user narratives, and (ii) social properties, such as others' intentions, typically lack verifiable ground truth. To address these challenges, we introduce Fuse, a multi-agent simulation framework for studying user-mediated social reasoning. In Fuse, a target agent with a hidden motive interacts with other agents including one representing the user, who then consults the evaluated assistant to infer the target's motive, providing verifiable ground truth by construction. Simulation faithfulness is validated through a human study with 24k annotations. We apply Fuse to 12 LLMs and demonstrate its analytical utility by systematically isolating key factors, showing that (i) user mediation compounds the inherent difficulty of social reasoning; (ii) LLMs exhibit systematic sensitivity to biased user framing; (iii) models can require more details than humans need to reach a correct prediction; and (iv) longer conversations do not always improve performance despite providing opportunities for clarifying questions. We open-source Fuse and a dataset with 21k examples.
Unauthorized hardware replacement can preserve a wireless device's logical identity while altering its physical implementation, posing a challenge to hardware integrity verification. Spatio-frequency polarization fingerprints (SFPFs) capture device-dependent responses across multiple frequencies and directions, but their frequency and spatial dimensions exhibit different structural dependencies. We propose FreqSpaNet, an SFPF representation learning network for open set hardware anomaly detection. A frequency branch captures local variations among neighboring frequencies, while a geometry-aware spatial branch models directional relationships using angular information. The two representations are combined through adaptive fusion, and complementary pretraining further captures shared information while preserving the distinct characteristics of the frequency and spatial representations. Experiments show that FreqSpaNet achieves a mean AUROC of 96.31\%, 9.05 points above the baseline. Results under seven hardware replacement scenarios further verify the effectiveness of FreqSpaNet.
We introduce LimiX-2, a new model in the LimiX family, developed through model and data scaling guided by our previously established scaling laws. LimiX-2 adopts the Contextual Mechanism Networks (CMNs) paradigm and is pretrained with Context-Conditional Masked Modeling (CCMM). CMNs shifts the organizing principle of in-context learning from target-centric prediction to mechanism-oriented joint modeling. Rather than centering the network on the p(y x, D_{context}) objective of conventional tabular PFNs, it is designed around learning p(x, y D_{context}), a context-dependent representation of the joint structure underlying data generation. Pretraining uses synthetic datasets generated by structural causal models (SCMs) spanning diverse graph structures, functional mechanisms, and observation processes. Evaluations on TabArena, TALENT, and BCCO show that LimiX-2 outperforms current dataset-specific models and tabular foundation models. Beyond predictive performance, the CMN paradigm also promotes causal awareness in LimiX-2: its feature attention encodes direct causal relationships, enabling accurate causal skeleton recovery.
Modern large-scale machine learning tasks often require multiple workers, devices, CPUs, or GPUs to compute stochastic gradients in parallel and asynchronously to train model weights. Theoretical results typically distinguish between two settings: (i) the homogeneous setting, where all workers have access to the same data distribution, and (ii) the heterogeneous setting, where each worker operates on different data distributions. Known optimal time complexities in these settings reveal a significant gap, with far more pessimistic guarantees in the heterogeneous case. In this work, we investigate whether these pessimistic optimal time complexities can be overcome under different assumptions. Surprisingly, we show that improvement is provably impossible under widely used first- and second-order similarity assumptions for any randomized algorithm. We then turn to the interpolation regime and demonstrate that the weak interpolation assumption alone is also insufficient. Finally, we introduce a minimal combination of irreducible assumptions, strong interpolation and the local Polyak-Lojasiewicz condition, to derive a new time complexity bound that matches the dependence on worker computation times in the best-known result in the homogeneous setting, without requiring identical data distributions.
Despite the rapid uptake of black-box object detectors in marine mammal research and monitoring, explainability techniques are rarely integrated into conservation workflows. Furthermore, most classification-oriented explainability tools are ill-suited to detection tasks involving imagery of social organisms or those with colonial life histories, as they ignore multiple detections within a scene and produce single-instance outputs that blur evidence across individuals. These methods also generate low-resolution, often biologically irrelevant visuals, limiting their utility for debugging, targeted data augmentation, and refined data collection. We proposed Det-LIME, a detector-aware, multi-instance adaptation of Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) that produced instance-specific, box-aligned explanations by combining per-detection weighting, a proximity kernel that emphasizes regions near each box, and Intersection-over-Union-based matching to track the same instance across perturbations. We evaluated Det-LIME on aerial drone imagery for harbor seal detection, with an additional seabird case study to assess generality, and compared it with vanilla LIME, Stabilized LIME, Deterministic LIME, and gradient-based attribution methods. Using the Attribution Ratio and Max Saliency Hit Rate metrics, we showed that Det-LIME consistently improved multi-instance attribution. In practice, these higher-resolution, instance-aware explanations provide insight into model outputs and support post-processing, debugging, and actionable improvements in modeling and data collection or augmentation.
The absolute capacity of dense associative memory has mainly been analyzed for unbiased patterns. Here we examine the effect of bias in centered binary patterns under the Krotov-Hopfield single-site criterion P_{error}=1/N, where P_{error} is the probability that a single-site flip lowers the energy of a stored pattern and N is the number of neurons. Each pattern component takes 1-q with probability q and -q otherwise, where $0
Capable open-weight models make local coding and reasoning attractive, but their context and execution state strain laptop memory. We present JustFit, an MLX-based inference runtime that combines KVExec for compressed KV execution, PhaseSwap for component residency, and StateTrans for state-preserving serving transitions. These mechanisms fuse reconstruction and coordinate just-in-time materialization and release, independently of model-weight quantization. In full-execution capacity tests on a 24 GiB M4 Pro MacBook running Qwen3.8-27B MXFP4, three independent runs complete 196,608 input and 16,384 output tokens, increasing completed single-request context from the mlx-vlm baseline's 30,720 positions to 212,992 (6.93x); a separate two-request run retains 229,376 positions in aggregate. In separate performance tests, a 32K-input, 64-output probe reaches 19.11 tokens/s, and a repeated 32K+6K workload has a median peak process footprint of 16,374 MiB. The integrated runtime answers 29 of 30 AIME 2026 problems correctly, showing how compact state and lifetime-aware execution expand local serving capacity while supporting extended generated reasoning.
Large language model (LLM) distillation aims to transfer the capabilities of a powerful teacher to a smaller student. Direct imitation, however, can also transfer the teacher's systematic bias and errors. This challenge is particularly pronounced under covariate shift, when the teacher's reliability on target questions is uncertain and target-domain reward feedback is unavailable. We propose Coupled Calibration and Learning (CCL), an LLM distillation algorithm that couples teacher calibration with student updates through token-level branching, using reward feedback only on source questions. Each iteration calibrates the teacher using source feedback and then uses the calibrated teacher to train the student on target questions. The updated student, in turn, informs subsequent calibration. In an autoregressive policy framework, we prove that the output student's expected average Kullback-Leibler divergence to the oracle student converges to zero at a polynomial rate in the number of iterations. The oracle maximizes the true reference-regularized target reward within the student class, which need not represent the unrestricted optimal policy. Our analysis quantifies the progress of projected student gradient updates while controlling the error in teacher calibration. We further establish a separation from regularized direct matching: its error relative to the oracle student can remain bounded away from zero even when the teacher achieves higher regularized target reward than every student policy. These results demonstrate that LLM distillation can overcome persistent teacher bias and recover the optimal student through coupled calibration and learning, without target-domain reward feedback.
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Multi-agent systems split a task across a tree of agents and justify the split with folklore: smaller contexts, cleaner separation, parallelism. We ask what the split does to how much of what the leaves discover reaches the root. Model a decomposition as a tree in which an agent handed b items keeps any one with probability r(b). If r(b)=1/b, every tree delivers exactly one finding, for every task size and every shape; we verify this to 2.4 10^{-15} on 20,000 random irregular trees. If r(b)=Cb^{-δ}, a depth-k tree over N findings yields C^k N^{1-δ}: task size and architecture separate, and architecture contributes only C 1 per level, so flat is optimal for yield and no arrangement of agents escapes the exponent δ. On 600 production deep-research traces δ= 0.34 [0.30, 0.38], by three identifications that do not share a failure mode. At a hop where item boundaries come from the tool rather than a text heuristic, and where b=1 occurs 550 times, C = 0.571 [0.527, 0.615] is observed rather than extrapolated, over 16,082 hops. A tier also costs alignment: on 1,012 annotated multi-agent traces one brief in sixteen goes off-target, giving μ= 0.939 and a per-tier penalty Cμ= 0.536. Depth is bought on two other axes. The root context is the only state that persists and the only one that cannot cheaply forget, and depth cuts its exposure from N items to N^{1/k}. Depth is also cheaper: production flat agents bill as N^{1.39}, not the N^2 an append-only context predicts, and at equal spend two tiers overtake flat at 403 findings. Across every parameter we measured the model says 0.7% to 11.3% of production sessions are worth delegating, against 7.8% that do. A hazard model on 743,819 production tool calls finds that delegation does not respond to a filling context and is instead an opening move.
Table understanding is a core task in document intelligence, encompassing two key subtasks: table reconstruction and table visual question answering (TabVQA). While recent approaches predominantly rely on vision- language models (VLMs) operating on table images, we propose a more scalable and effective alternative based on structured textual representations. These representations are easier to process, align more naturally with LLMs, and eliminate the need for language-specific visual encoders, making them particularly suitable for multilingual documents. We present DELTA, which separates physical structure recognition, logical structure recognition, and OCR to extract both layout and content accurately. DELTA outputs tables in Optimised Table Structure Language (OTSL), a compact and unified format that encodes cell arrangements and textual content. On table structure recognition (TSR), DELTA achieves TEDS- Structure scores comparable with state-of-the-art methods across FinTabNet, PubTabNet, and PubTables-1M. We further establish its robustness on non-English tables through our curated Hindi benchmark, TORQUE. Building on this, we introduce TARQA, an LLM fine-tuned on OTSL sequences. Our approach yields gains of 9.3 p.p. on WTQ (TabQA) and 9.2 p.p. on FinTabNetQA (TabVQA), respectively. On TORQUE, our method ranks second among all VLMs and DELTA + LLM variants. We release our code, models, and benchmark at: https://github.com/Tihiitborg/Tables-Decoded
