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arXiv AI Papers

Necessary or Sufficient? Evaluating LLM Explanations With Behavioural Evidence

LLM decision components that can operate within agent workflows often produce action-relevant recommendations or judgements together with explanations. Operators may use the named factors to monitor a system, diagnose errors, or decide when to escalate an output. Such use assumes that the explanations agree with the component's observable decision behaviour. We test two interpretations of the named factors: necessity, meaning that changing a factor would change the output, and sufficiency, meaning that retaining it while removing other changeable information would preserve the output. We evaluate these interpretations in two synthetic use cases: recommending advisors to clients and judging prompts for harmfulness or risk. Models return an output and the top three factors that most influenced it. Controlled black-box interventions estimate a necessity score for each factor by measuring how often changing it changes the output, and a sufficiency score by measuring how often retaining it preserves the output. Across eight models from the Claude, GPT, and Gemini families, the mean Spearman correlations between the cited ranking and the necessity and sufficiency scores are 0.349 and 0.354 for advisor recommendation, and 0.431 and 0.580 for prompt monitoring. Furthermore, an uncited factor scores above the lowest-scoring cited factor in 57.6% of advisor responses under necessity and 58.1% under sufficiency; the corresponding prompt-monitoring rates are 25.8% and 8.9%. The cited top three contain useful information but do not reliably identify the three factors with the strongest measured influence under necessity or sufficiency. The framework provides a black-box reliability check for explanations used in agent oversight while remaining scoped to individual LLM decisions.

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arXiv AI Papers

CUA-Universe: A Scalable and Dynamic Environment for Hybrid GUI+CLI Agents

Computer-use agents have advanced on benchmarks like OSWorld and AndroidWorld, but still act mostly through the GUI, often producing inefficient trajectories. Real-world computer work is hybrid, combining visual-state inspection with precise, high-throughput command-line operations, so capable agents must coordinate both modalities over shared application state. Yet scalable hybrid environments remain scarce because supporting both GUI and CLI over real applications typically requires substantial manual engineering for each application. Existing agents also struggle to use the two interfaces complementarily: CLI-native agents lack visual perception for tasks involving interface state or layout, while GUI-native agents are inefficient for operations better executed through commands. We introduce CUA-Universe, a scalable environment-to-data pipeline that turns real desktop software into hybrid GUI+CLI environments. App-Forge adapts applications into reproducible VMs and command-line surfaces it discovers, wraps, or generates, scaling to 16 applications; Task-Weave synthesizes diverse hybrid tasks of controllable difficulty from reusable operations over seed files; and Path-Steer steers rollouts along efficient hybrid paths and harvests verified trajectories for post-training. Training on this data shifts behavior from inefficient GUI interaction and brittle CLI scripting toward effective GUI+CLI orchestration. Our 9B model improves both success and efficiency on CUA-Verse (Score +39.3 pts; -37% steps, -60% tokens), OSWorld (SR +16.8 pts; -57% steps, -44% tokens), and OSWorld-MCP (Score +7.84 pts; -27% steps, -30% tokens). CUA-Universe provides a scalable path toward more capable and efficient computer-use agents.

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AWS Machine Learning Blog

Designing lifecycle policies for AgentCore memory

Long-running AI agents accumulate outdated memories that degrade quality and create compliance risk. Learn how to design memory lifecycle policies for Amazon Bedrock AgentCore: scoring, consolidating, and pruning agent memories on a nightly AWS Step Functions workflow, with a deployable AWS CDK stack.

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arXiv AI Papers

Design Docs Are All You Need: An AI-native Machine-Learning Performance Tool

Machine-learning performance modeling is a uniquely hostile terrain for long-lived software: the assumptions baked into today's abstractions are invalidated by tomorrow's models and systems, forcing perpetual refactoring of performance-modeling frameworks. Meanwhile, AI coding agents have become fast and capable enough that regenerating an entire library is cheaper than paying down the tech debt of incrementally patching it. We describe SMART, a rigorous symbolic performance-modeling library for ML systems whose main branch contains almost no code: the repository is a DAG of self-contained natural-language design docs, coding sub-agents regenerate the implementation from only the docs on new version updates, and every human change is a natural-language edit to a doc--self-documenting by construction. Two ingredients make regeneration reliable: (i) a design-doc style built around step-by-step worked examples that act as in-context demonstrations for the generating agents, and (ii) a minimal, recursively defined operator IR with symbolic (SymPy) cost expressions, a fast analytical roll-up mode for large sweeps, and a slow modulo-scheduling mode for fine-grained schedule studies. Regenerated implementations reproduce hand-audited reference models--including DeepSeek-V3 serving on a TPU pod slice--to round-off precision, suggesting that design docs--not code--can be the durable artifact for ML-systems co-design tools.

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arXiv AI Papers

Does Your Agent's Memory Survive a Model Upgrade? A Controlled Study of Memory Portability

Model upgrades are routine; memory migrations are not. An agent can keep the same memory store and still forget: a new model may interpret old notes differently, mixed embedding versions may break retrieval, and repair may fail without the original evidence. We compare memory as the same history is preserved verbatim for long-context reading (LC-RAW), divided into chunks for retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), compressed by a model into natural-language notes (NOTES), or normalized into a fixed-schema knowledge graph (KG-fixed). The study uses 48 synthetic histories with randomized answer codes, exact scoring, and two open-weight models with sub 10 billion parameters. Our measurements show that fixed-schema structures transfer reliably, with KG-fixed accuracy changing by only +0.0004 0.0020 following a writer swap. Conversely, compressed NOTES exhibit high model coupling, with accuracy shifting asymmetrically by +9.91 or -13.28 percentage points depending on the specific migration direction. In RAG systems, partial embedding migrations using a 50/50 mixed index capture only a 4.96-point accuracy improvement, forfeiting the majority of the 11.90-point gain achieved through full re-embedding. Diagnostic decomposition attributes 80% (0.467 0.014) of the NOTES accuracy deficit to information lost during initial construction, whereas retrieval failures drive 81% (0.364 0.012) of the RAG deficit. Finally, store-only repair of NOTES fails to reach a 90% performance recovery target in all 48 test cases, whereas retaining the raw source history enables successful recovery in 34 of 48 cases for one tested direction. These findings highlight the necessity of direction-specific migration testing, strict embedding space isolation, and the retention of source histories for memory repair.

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arXiv AI Papers

The History Is the Detector: Executing CVE Patch History, End-to-End

Public vulnerability databases collect rich information about known software flaws, including their weakness types, affected components, and related patches. Fixing commits provide the exact code changes that removed these flaws. While these records capture why the original code was unsafe, they are documented mainly for human inspection rather than automated reuse. Consequently, the same unsafe conditions may still exist elsewhere in code without a known advisory, leaving much of this detection knowledge unused. We present BUGSTONE-E2E, a framework that transforms vulnerability history into executable detection rules and validates their findings. First, BUGSTONE-E2E mines reusable rules from verified fixing commits, capturing scan anchors, fix semantics, and CVE provenance and organizing them by CWE and language. Second, detection follows a funnel-shaped pipeline: early stages process a large pool of candidates using lightweight analysis, while later stages apply increasingly capable and expensive models to a shrinking set of targets. Specifically, BUGSTONE-E2E first enumerates call sites matching rule anchors using Tree-sitter, then removes benign sites using lightweight heuristics without LLM calls. Next, LLM-based agents inspect the remaining candidates guided by the rule. Following this inspection, the system re-triages surviving candidates and builds runtime verifications, then generates scope-checked patches validated via two-sided differential tests. Using 19,325 high-severity CVEs from 2022 to 2026, BUGSTONE-E2E identifies 2,710 fixing commits and constructs 1,033 detection rules across 56 CWE families, packaged into 172 skills. When applied across 14 programs, it produced runtime evidence for 644 findings. These results demonstrate that CVE history can be turned into an executable workflow, transforming past vulnerabilities into reproducible detection and repair.

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arXiv AI Papers

RoboSPA: Can VLA Models Go Beyond Simple Scenes and Short-Horizon Tasks?

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have shown promising progress in language-conditioned robotic manipulation. However, existing datasets and benchmarks mainly evaluate task completion under predefined settings, offering limited insight into model reasoning under increasing spatial and procedural complexity. We introduce RoboSPA (Robot Spatial-Procedural Assessment), a large-scale robotic manipulation dataset and benchmark for diagnosing embodied reasoning in VLA models. RoboSPA focuses on two core dimensions, Fine-Grained Spatial Reasoning and Long-Horizon Procedural Planning, covering 10 task categories and 56 base tasks. Each task is instantiated across five difficulty levels, yielding 280 variants with increasing spatial ambiguity and procedural complexity. We collect 527K trajectories across multiple embodiments and diverse scenes. Beyond binary success rate, RoboSPA introduces diagnostic metrics for more detailed evaluation. Experiments on representative VLA models show that current systems still struggle with complex spatial relations, precise low-level execution, and memory-intensive planning. These results establish RoboSPA as a challenging diagnostic benchmark for developing more capable, reliable, and generalizable embodied agents. Our data and code are available at https://github.com/fanzhenxuan/RoboSPA.

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arXiv AI Papers

Optimal Rates for Agentic Networked Information Aggregation

Building on the pioneering paper of Kearns, Roth, and Ryu (SODA'26), we study information aggregation in a networked learning model. The model captures a central pattern in agentic AI: each agent sees only part of the data and passes on only its own conclusion. Their model considers a linear regression problem with the mean squared error (MSE) loss. Agents sit in a DAG and each sees only a subset of the features and its parents' predictions, fits a linear predictor, and passes only its prediction forward. The benchmark is the full-feature learner that sees all raw features. A path of depth D is M-covered if every block of M consecutive agents collectively sees all raw features. Kearns, Roth, and Ryu proved that the excess mean squared error of the last agent on such a path is O(M/D), and gave a cyclic instance with excess error Ω(M/D) for $D

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arXiv AI Papers

Large Language Models for HVAC Operations in Building Energy Systems: A Critical Review of Methods, Applications, and Deployment Readiness

Building automation systems generate rich sensor data yet remain insight-poor because heterogeneous point naming, missing metadata, and fragmented documentation obstruct their operational use. This systematic review analyses and codes 66 peer-reviewed studies on large language models (LLMs) for HVAC operations published between 2023 and March 2026. Each study is classified across five application families and three LLM method families and assessed for evidence realism, deployment readiness, and the responsibility boundary between the LLM and physical HVAC decisions. The corpus is concentrated in building energy modelling (BEM, 32 of 66 papers), while load forecasting remains too sparse for subfield-level conclusions. Only four studies reach pilot-level evidence, and none reports sustained operational deployment. No study was classified as ready-now for industry adoption; three were near-term and 63 research-only. Nevertheless, several bounded, human-in-the-loop uses merit near-term trials, including point-name normalisation, document-grounded operator support, BEM workflow assistance, and advisory interfaces around physics-based controllers. Conventional machine learning (ML), model predictive control (MPC), reinforcement learning (RL) and ontology-based tools remain more adopted for high-frequency control, short-horizon numerical forecasting, and well-posed ontology mapping, while autonomous agentic operation and unvalidated occupant proxies remain research-stage. Current evidence therefore supports LLMs primarily as semantic and workflow layers rather than autonomous HVAC controllers. Future work should prioritise field-validated benchmarks, orchestration evaluation under operational constraints, and LLM-MPC/RL architectures with bounded latency and verifiable safety properties.

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arXiv AI Papers

Online Change-point Detection for Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

Cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) systems rely on past experience for learning coordinated behaviour, but this experience may become unreliable if the environment or task objective changes during training. In such cases, agents first need a way to recognize that the situation has changed before deciding how to adapt. This paper studies online change-point detection for cooperative MARL using reward-derived signals. We propose Patterns of Past Rewards (PPR), a lightweight algorithm-agnostic detector that smooths agents' return streams, highlights recent changes, and applies a statistical drift detector to flag significant shifts. We evaluate PPR in a custom Speaker-Listener environment based on the Multi-Agent Particle Environment under two controlled non-stationarity scenarios. Our results show a trade-off between detection speed and alarm stability. A smoothed-return baseline detects earlier but produces many repeated alarms. In contrast, applying the detector directly to raw returns often misses the shift. PPR offers a more balanced approach by limiting redundant detections while still identifying the controlled shifts. These findings highlight PPR as a lightweight, reward-based monitoring tool that enables cooperative MARL systems to reliably identify major changes during training.

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arXiv AI Papers

RISE: Recursive Improvement via Self-Extrapolating Policy Distillation

On-policy distillation (OPD) provides dense, per-token supervision for language model post-training, but its effectiveness is bottlenecked by teacher quality: external teachers suffer from distribution mismatch, while self-distillation with privileged conditioning is limited by in-context learning capacity. We propose RISE (Recursive Improvement via Self-Extrapolating Policy Distillation), which constructs a synthetic teacher directly from the model's own RLVR training trajectory. By extrapolating the displacement between the current checkpoint and a trailing anchor---in parameter space or output logit space---RISE converts a sparse outcome-induced parameter update into a dense token-level target, without any external model or privileged conditioning. RISE combines RLVR and OPD in a complementary loop: outcome rewards ground the extrapolation toward correct reasoning, while the extrapolated teacher refines token-level decisions. Moreover, since the teacher is refreshed every iteration as the student improves, distillation becomes a recursive improvement mechanism rather than a one-shot compression step. Experiments spanning mathematical reasoning, multi-domain STEM, code generation, and multi-turn agentic tasks show that RISE outperforms RLVR-only training and on-policy self-distillation across all settings.

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arXiv AI Papers

Testing Interchangeability in LLM Agent Teams

Production multi-agent systems replace agents constantly, on the assumption that an agent filling a role is interchangeable with any other agent that can do the job. We test that assumption. Eight teams per setting are formed independently from one base model on the same tasks, each agent keeping a private notebook across ten formation episodes; we then trade role-matched agents between teams and measure what changes on held-out tasks. Against a placebo that reproduces the disruption of a roster change without changing who occupies the seat, a swap costs little in task score but raises the communication a team spends per unit of progress by 16 to 63 percent, and in Hanabi a swapped agent is more expensive than an inexperienced one, consistent with interference from conventions learned with its former partner. In Collab-Overcooked, when the agent that sets the agenda is replaced, most of the extra communication comes from the agent that stayed. Three ablations, over base models, decoding temperature and formation length, move the swap penalty alongside one other quantity: how far independently formed teams drift apart. Greedy decoding lowers both; doubling a team's history raises both. In these settings, agents are more fungible in task outcome than in coordination efficiency, with larger swap effects after longer formation histories.

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arXiv AI Papers

How to Speculate about Uncertainty in Agentic Coding? A Draft-Model Gate Method

LLM agents deployed for software engineering fail expensively: they act confidently wrong, and bad actions are recognized only after costly execution and retry. We present Speculative Uncertainty (SU), a method that recovers a predictive failure signal for a black-box agent from its output tokens alone, with no access to logits, weights, activations, or repeated sampling. Inverting speculative decoding, a small open-weight draft model scores the agent's already-generated trajectory in a single forward pass. From these speculative cross-likelihoods we extract phase-aware features by separating the reasoning and action spans, and calibrate them against a verifiable objective. SU produces a failure-likelihood score that any downstream policy, such as routing, human intervention, or extra test-time compute, can consume directly. To show the signal is actionable, we instantiate one such policy, a pre-execution veto gate, on software engineering agents Qwen3-Coder-480B and closed-source Claude 3.5 Sonnet, cutting execution error rate by 6-8 percentage points and token cost by 14-19% in deployment, transferring to out-of-distribution benchmarks without retraining, and generalizing across agent models.

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arXiv AI Papers

CONTINUITY: Security-Context Contracts for Composable LLM Agent Controls

LLM agent systems increasingly combine provenance tracking, authorization, policy enforcement, protocol adapters, and execution controls. However, individually correct security mechanisms do not necessarily compose into an end-to-end secure system: security-critical context may be dropped, widened, rebound, or reinterpreted as actions cross component boundaries. We identify this failure mode as security-context discontinuity and introduce CONTINUITY, a framework for verifiable composition of agent security controls. CONTINUITY models each component with an assume-guarantee contract and carries authenticated security context across transitions using signed root grants, provenance commitments, role-bound transition receipts, bounded typed releases, transformation witnesses, and effect-bound execution permits. We formalize end-to-end consequence integrity, requiring every realized external effect to be backed by a valid and current authorization witness linking the principal, task, provenance, delegation, policy state, canonical action, and finality boundary. We implement a reference verifier and deterministic cross-layer fault-injection suite covering 32 fault classes across four application domains. In 2,560 parameterized attack instances spanning 128 fault-domain classes, the full CONTINUITY configuration commits no harmful external effect, while completing all 700 benign tasks and escalating all 200 ambiguous cases. These results show that secure agent execution requires not only sound individual controls, but explicit contracts that preserve their guarantees across the complete instruction-to-effect path.

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arXiv AI Papers

Trace2Tower: Transition-Aware EigenTrace Induction of Multi-Level Skills for LLM Agents

Large language model agents increasingly rely on execution traces to master complex interactive tasks. However, current paradigms are bottlenecked by shallow trajectory retrieval and flat skill summarization, fundamentally ignoring the temporal dependencies and outcome-conditioned topology of agent behavior. We introduce Trace2Tower, a transition-aware EigenTrace framework that distills raw trajectories into a robust skill hierarchy. Trace2Tower abstracts step-level interactions into canonical events, constructing a unified graph governed by semantic compatibility, transition dynamics, and outcome evidence. Through a novel contrastive spectral decomposition, it isolates stable, success-aligned behavioral modes while rigorously suppressing failure-prone shortcuts. These modes organically populate a dynamic skill tower of action templates, procedural routines, and overarching task strategies, continuously refined via verifier-guided feedback. On ALFWorld, Trace2Tower achieves 87.31% success requiring only 10.35 steps and 0.26 invalid actions; on WebShop, it reaches 50.67% exact success. Across both benchmarks, Trace2Tower significantly outperforms existing baselines in task mastery and context-efficient experience reuse.

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