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arXiv AI Papers

Discriminative World Models for Web Agents

Recent web agents use world models for test-time action selection by sampling candidate actions, predicting the resulting web states, and ranking them with a ranker model or a Process Reward Model (PRM). These world models are typically trained via supervised next-state prediction to generate fixed representations like HTML or AXTree snapshots. However, this objective is misaligned with the downstream ranker, which relies on predicted states being discriminative across candidates to accurately score them. To address this, we introduce predicted-state matching, a training objective where the predicted representation must distinguish the true resulting state from those reached by alternative actions. We train these models using a branching web-agent dataset derived from WebArena Go-Browse trajectories, where every decision point contains multiple alternative actions and their resulting states. Experiments on our held-out predicted-state matching benchmark show that our approach outperforms world models trained with supervised next-state prediction. We further show that our approach improves PRM-style action ranking on WebPRMBench compared with action-only PRMs and PRMs augmented with supervised-next-state world models. Finally, on WebArena-Lite, using our world model for test-time action selection improves end-to-end task success. Our project page is available at: https://dhruvpendharkar.github.io/dwm/.

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arXiv AI Papers

Large Language Models (LLMs) for Telecom Root Cause Analysis (RCA): A Structured Reasoning Framework for Evidence-Grounded Diagnosis

Root cause analysis (RCA) is a critical task in telecom network operations, but diagnosing performance degradations in modern 5G and emerging 6G networks remains challenging due to complex cross-layer dependencies. While large language models (LLMs) offer promising capabilities for reasoning and knowledge integration, directly applying vanilla LLMs to telecom RCA often leads to hallucination, unstable reasoning, and poor alignment with structured network evidence. This work first reviews the evolution of telecom RCA from rule-based and machine learning (ML) approaches to emerging LLM-enabled techniques, and provides an overview of recent paradigms, including structured reasoning, retrieval-augmented knowledge grounding, agentic orchestration, and verifiable reasoning. Building upon these insights, we propose a structured reasoning framework for LLM-enabled telecom RCA that aligns diagnostic reasoning with telecom-specific evidence and domain knowledge. The proposed approach first organizes heterogeneous network telemetry into canonical contexts, and then enforces decision-path reasoning during diagnosis, and finally generates evidence-grounded explanations for reliable fault identification. Experimental results on two 5G RCA datasets, TeleLogs and TelecomTS, demonstrate that the proposed framework consistently improves diagnostic accuracy and decision consistency compared with baseline techniques. These cross-dataset results highlight the importance of structured reasoning design for practical LLM-based RCA systems in next-generation telecom networks.

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arXiv AI Papers

SafeEvolve: Harness-Policy Co-Evolution from Agent Experience for Safety Alignment

The performance of LLM-based agents is jointly shaped by the base model and the harness used when interacting with the environment. This exposes them to safety risks in both harmful final responses and multi-step execution trajectories. Existing safety alignment mechanisms often rely on either external harness updates or policy optimization, yet applying either paradigm in isolation fails to bridge runtime control with intrinsic safety. We propose SafeEvolve, an experience-driven self-evolving framework for agent safety alignment. SafeEvolve leverages safety experience from completed on-policy trajectories to drive a continual loop of harness-policy co-evolution. On the harness side, SafeEvolve converts trajectory-level safety evidence into bounded, component-level updates across safety prompt and hierarchical skills, yielding auditable and reversible harness artifacts. On the policy side, SafeEvolve follows a two-stage SFT-RL paradigm, where harness-use SFT bootstraps the policy to actively leverage evolved harness artifacts, and harness-augmented RL further shapes autonomous safety behaviors during multi-step exploration via verifier-decomposed rewards. Through harness-policy co-evolution, SafeEvolve converts safety experience into an evolved runtime harness and improved policy behavior. Experiments on agentic safety benchmarks show that SafeEvolve achieves a stronger safety-utility tradeoff than existing baselines. For Qwen3.5-4B, SafeEvolve achieves a 3ASR reduction on AgentDojo while improving benign utility from 59.79% to 61.86%.

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arXiv AI Papers

EarlyEval: Cheaper Agent Evaluation via Early Outcome Prediction

Evaluating LLM agents is essential for guiding their development, yet it has grown prohibitively expensive: a single pass of a frontier model over an agentic benchmark can cost hundreds to thousands of dollars, a price paid repeatedly across iterative development cycles. Prior efforts, centered on benchmark distillation, reduce the number of evaluation tasks but leave the cost of executing each retained task untouched. In this work, we introduce early outcome prediction, a complementary axis of efficiency that instead cuts cost within each task. Our key insight is that an agent's final outcome is often evident from its intermediate behavior well before execution completes. We instantiate this idea in EarlyEval, a lightweight framework that trains a pair of LightGBM success and failure classifiers over behavioral, textual, and reference-solution features, and halts an agent run the moment either classifier crosses a calibrated confidence threshold, adding negligible per-step overhead. Across three benchmarks, SWE-bench Verified, TerminalBench, and Toolathlon, EarlyEval can eliminate 13%-26% of agent steps and up to 44.1% input tokens and 29.4% output tokens at 89%-97% prediction accuracy, while perturbing per-agent resolve rates by only one to two percentage points on average.

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arXiv AI Papers

Measurement-Driven Sub-Network Selection for On-Premise Retrieval-Augmented Factory Agents

On-premise assistants can give factory workers conversational access to machine documentation, but models capable of the task rarely fit shop-floor hardware. We show that after structural compression and retrieval-grounded adaptation, model size is no longer a reliable predictor of adapted answer quality: general capability falls almost linearly with parameter count, while judged retrieval-augmented answer quality does not. We therefore treat deployment as a post-adaptation selection problem, committing one sub-network per device on judged answer quality and measured on-device throughput under a configurable general-capability floor and memory budget; rules that optimize size, speed, or quality alone each give up capability or throughput. A weight-shared supernetwork trained with sandwich-style in-place distillation keeps this selection inexpensive. In a manufacturing-manual case study, extraction costs 13.7 percent of the unpruned model's judged quality and retrieval-grounded distillation returns it to within 4.6 percent, recovering two thirds of the loss, and the same assistant runs across three heterogeneous edge tiers at 1.3 to 5 watts standby.

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arXiv AI Papers

Bilevel Coordinated Reflection: A Game-Theoretic Approach to Multi-Agent LLM Systems

Multi-agent LLM systems commonly use an orchestrator to decompose a task for a team of workers and then improve through textual reflection. Despite strong empirical results, these systems lack a unified account of coordination, memory improvement, and the role of external verification. We model orchestrator-worker interaction as a bilevel coordination game: under bounded coupling, the workers' local-update game is an approximate potential game whose equilibrium slack is controlled by decomposition quality. We then analyse reflection as stochastic movement over semantic memory states. For free-form reflection, we derive a finite-time upper bound, prove worst-case tightness, and give a positive lower bound under a falsifiable persistent-harm condition. We further prove an information-theoretic impossibility result: no gate that observes only the generated transcript can improve uniformly over text-indistinguishable environments, whereas an environment-grounded gate can. Motivated by this separation, we introduce Stochastic Reflective Memory Ascent (SRMA), which accepts a candidate memory only after a grounded evaluation risk strictly decreases. Under calibration and non-degenerate corrective mass, SRMA converges exactly, geometrically or polynomially; matching constructions show that both rate regimes are order-tight. We also provide confidence gating for stochastic evaluation and re-anchoring guarantees for piecewise-stationary environments. Experiments instantiate these objects with environment-grounded metrics and test the predicted coordination and drift laws. On 500 SWE-bench instances, the complete Kimi-based system resolves 72.2% versus a 70.8% public mini-SWE-agent reference. Code: https://github.com/YihangChen9/Bilevel-Coordinated-Reflection

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arXiv AI Papers

Repo-To-Skill: Distilling GitHub Repositories Into AI4AI Skills

Autonomous agents are beginning to carry out machine-learning (ML) research end to end. These agents combine a model backbone with a harness for planning, execution, memory, and verification, but this architecture still leaves domain-specific know-how outside the agent. We call this missing layer operational knowledge, the know-how that separates knowing a method from making it work. That knowledge is not absent from the field. It appears in repositories and papers, but in forms written for human readers and too large to load during a task. Once distilled into compact, verified skills, this knowledge can be reused across tasks rather than rediscovered during each run. We present DisCo, a skill-powered research agent that creates skills and uses them during research. Its distillation runs in two complementary forms: task-agnostic, condensing the field's widely used repositories into reusable skills, and task-oriented, producing the skills a concrete task calls for. The former, applied across the open ecosystem, yields the AREX-Skill Library, with 5,000+ verified skills distilled from 1,000 widely used ML repositories and organized into 20 areas and 178 capability families. With the GPT-5.5 backbone, research harness, and downstream execution budget held fixed, the skill-equipped research agent scores 134.3% higher on MLE-bench, 34.4% higher on PaperBench, 9.2% higher on FrontierCS, and 14.0% higher on PassNet than the same agent without skills. These gains come from adding distilled operating context under that fixed setup.

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arXiv AI Papers

CORAL: An LLM-Native Harness for Production Recommender Systems

Production recommender systems shape what billions of people see, and sustaining their performance requires continual optimization: as content, user behavior, and upstream models shift, the choices governing retrieval, ranking, and serving must be revisited. Traditionally, human engineers test such changes through online experiments--a slow, reactive process limited by engineering effort, leaving parts of the system unrevised as conditions change. Although large language models have been applied to ranking, user modeling, and offline model development, few systems place an agent in a continual closed loop that acts on a live recommender and learns from the measured effects of its decisions. We present CORAL (Constraint-Optimized Recommender via an Agentic Loop), an LLM-native harness that closes this loop: each cycle, the agent observes operating signals, reasons over a memory of past decisions and outcomes, and invokes tools--including a numerical optimizer that keeps changes within a fixed operating budget--to reconfigure the recommender, with measured outcomes informing the next cycle. We formulate this as a partially observed, non-stationary, constrained optimization problem in which the policy improves in context, without parameter updates, from its prior actions. Across two large-scale social platforms, evaluated with A/B experiments, the same harness improves engagement at no additional serving cost on one and reduces serving cost without degrading engagement on the other, spanning the engagement-efficiency frontier. Performance improves as the loop iterates, suggesting that a single agentic loop can automate continual optimization work traditionally performed by human algorithm engineers under explicit guardrails.

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arXiv AI Papers

Loom: Weaving Diagnostic Strands into Free-Text Consensus via Embedding-Space Reweighting

Aggregating noisy, conflicting textual hypotheses into a reliable consensus is a fundamental challenge when deploying NLP systems in real-world industrial settings. While monolithic Large Language Model (LLM) agents offer unbounded expressivity for tasks like Root Cause Analysis (RCA), they suffer from context limits, compounding hallucinations, and prohibitive inference latency. Traditional weak supervision offers statistical rigor but is mathematically restricted to discrete classes. We present Loom, a generative consensus framework deployed for real-world RCA that bridges these paradigms. Loom aggregates open-form hypotheses emitted by modular heuristics (diagnostic templates dynamically populated with episode-specific entities, times, and metrics) by projecting them into a continuous embedding space, and resolves conflicting signals with an iterative centroid-based reweighting algorithm. The resulting consensus weights ground a single lightweight LLM synthesis step. Evaluated on the OpenRCA benchmark, Loom occupies the accuracy--efficiency Pareto frontier: it matches a state-of-the-art autonomous agent on Bank and Market-2 and trails on Market-1 and Telecom, while using a single LLM call per incident on all four datasets (26faster; 33with an 8B-parameter synthesizer). We discuss our deployment experience, highlighting lessons learned regarding the trade-offs between agentic depth and inference latency, negative results in redundancy detection, and how deterministic consensus fosters trust among Subject Matter Experts~(SMEs).

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arXiv AI Papers

Collective creativity in hybrid societies

Generative AI is changing how cultural artifacts are created and circulated, and with it our understanding of creativity itself. Researchers disagree about whether these tools enrich or impoverish culture, and we argue that much of that disagreement comes from conflating two distinct components of creativity: novelty, a property of single artifacts, and diversity, a property of populations. We argue further that creativity in the context of generative AI is best understood as a property of hybrid collectives, or populations of interacting people and algorithms, rather than of individuals. AI-assisted ideation reliably raises the novelty of individual output while narrowing diversity in the aggregate, but this is not an inevitable consequence of putting machines in the loop. Because humans and models search in complementary ways, mixed groups can outperform and out-diversify groups of either kind alone, and machine-discovered solutions can enter human culture and persist there. What decides the outcome is composition: which agents are present, in what proportion, and how they are connected. The question is no longer whether AI helps or harms creativity, but which mixtures let individual gains accumulate without eroding collective diversity.

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arXiv AI Papers

Competitive Market Behavior of LLMs

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as economic agents, yet there is little evidence whether LLM agents are suited for participating in market mechanisms designed for humans, and whether these mechanisms deliver desired outcomes when faced with LLM agents. We address this question by replicating seminal economic experiments, replacing human subjects with LLM agents. We place agents in a double auction environment, which is a widely-used market mechanism. We check whether such a market is able to deliver an efficient allocation of resources, thereby testing a novel dimension of alignment of LLM agents -- their compatibility with a fundamental market mechanism. We find that markets populated by LLM agents exhibit slower or no convergence towards market equilibrium, thus providing less efficient allocations than markets populated by humans. We then analyze agents' individual trading decisions and find substantial heterogeneity both across model families and market roles. We also run a lexical analysis of Chain-of-Thought (CoT) traces generated by the agents. We find that the decision to execute a trade rather than continue incrementally adjusting prices is associated with a shift from strategic considerations toward urgency. We publicly release our testing framework, which can be used for future evaluations.

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arXiv AI Papers

Online Reinforcement Learning in the Met Office Unified Model through Distributed Model-Agent Coupling

Machine-learnt corrections can complement numerical weather prediction only if they adapt to the evolving model state while preserving dynamical consistency and numerical stability. To test this within a global forecasting model, we couple the Met Office (UKMO) Unified Model (UM) with distributed RL agents through rank-local tensors. A DDPG actor shares weights across the 70 vertical model levels of each atmospheric column and applies bounded potential-temperature corrections to the model tendencies. Across ten nudged training forecasts, nudging calculations towards the UKMO operational analysis provides an immediate counterfactual target. The frozen policy is then evaluated in a non-nudged forecast for inference. The coupled workflow successfully completes training and remains numerically stable in the evaluated case. Relative to a matched native UM forecast at +6 h, the learnt policy reduces Z_{500} MAE in four of six latitude bands, including reductions of 45.8% and 40.8% in the northern and southern tropics. MSLP error too decreases in three bands, with a maximum reduction of 27.3% at 0-30°N. This single-case experiment demonstrates significant promise and feasibility of distributed online learning followed by non-nudged inference, laying the groundwork for RL-based bias correction and parametrisations within operational systems.

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arXiv AI Papers

CivBench: A Long-Horizon Benchmark for Tool-Mediated Agents in Civilization VI

We present CivBench, an open-source benchmark for evaluating language model agents in long-horizon, tool-mediated environments through the Model Context Protocol (MCP). A single episode spans 300+ turns and produces thousands of tool calls over a large action space, requiring sustained planning, state monitoring, and execution under partial observability. The environment exposes 76 MCP tools and a narration layer that converts visual game state into structured text. We use CivBench to characterise agent behaviour across four model families in 23 admissible runs. The sample is a pilot, not a model ranking: aggregate outcomes do not reliably discriminate models at this scale. Instead, we introduce two interface-level metrics that the environment makes measurable: Proactive Monitoring Rate (PMR), capturing whether agents actively query latent strategic state, and RAG@10, capturing whether commitments stated in structured planning reflections are executed within ten subsequent turns. Across runs we observe two consistent patterns under a shared playbook protocol. Agents under-monitor strategically relevant state that is available but requires explicit querying: despite playbook guidance to query victory progress every 20 turns, agents do so only every 30 to 75 turns, and in 7 of 20 detectable defeats they failed to query within the 20 turn warning window before game end. Agents also frequently fail to execute near-term commitments stated in their own planning reflections (RAG@10 between 48.2% and 65.8% across models). Both patterns arise despite tool access and explicit guidance, and we interpret them as deviations under instruction rather than absences of capability. We release the environment, scenarios, logs, metrics, and analysis pipeline at https://github.com/lmwilki/civ6-mcp

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arXiv AI Papers

Coverage, Not Targeting: A Structural Regime in Multi-Turn Agent Credit Assignment

Multi-turn agentic RL increasingly treats credit assignment as a targeting problem: given a terminal verifiable reward, per-turn methods localize credit onto the turns that mattered. We identify the structural quantity that predicts when this is the right move, the verifier information density V_d = k/C (the fraction of an agent's C-step causal chain whose per-turn correctness the verifier exposes), and show that terminal-state verifiers sit deep in a low-V_d regime where targeting is the wrong axis. In controlled shared-rollout comparisons on tau^2-bench that separate reward density from credit geometry, a continuous dense reward spread uniformly beats the sparse binary outcome reward (net-harmful on 4/5 seeds), while concentrating the same advantage on progress turns or on random turns is equally harmful: targeting is second-order. The mechanism is coverage: terminal-state verification collapses the observable signal to a single final-write turn (k=1 in 98% of rollouts) while success requires a 5-8 step chain of prerequisite tool calls. A synthetic phase boundary places the crossover at V_d* ~ 0.8, whereas measured V_d is ~0.15 on tau^2-bench and ~0.4 on BFCL V3; uniform also wins on BFCL, where a matched-concentration shuffled control is negative on 8/8 seeds. The effect reproduces across model families on ToolACE-2-8B (Delta = -0.048 over 32 pre-registered seeds; an independent 20-seed replication is itself significant), and a pre-registered matched-budget breadth sweep traces a monotone dose-response whose deficit vanishes only at full chain coverage, with a reward-to-go arm reaching full-coverage parity. Uniform redistribution is the zero-information coverage default that per-turn schemes must beat; we contribute the matched-concentration shuffled control that any targeting claim should clear.

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arXiv AI Papers

Diagnosing with Insights: Structured Analysis of Agent Failures via Behavioral Abstractions

With the proliferation of LLM agents, the ability to understand and diagnose failures in agents is essential to achieving superior effectiveness and trustworthiness. As agent failures often manifest via long and complex trajectories, manually finding the needles in the haystack is untenable. However, traditional diagnosis techniques for software bugs can hardly address LLM agent failures, while completely relying on LLMs as the judge yields unreliable diagnosis results. To overcome these challenges, this paper presents AGENTSCOPE, a new neuro-symbolic approach for agent failure mode diagnosis. The key principle of AGENTSCOPE is to abstract agent behavior, based on its trajectories, into structured representations. Furthermore, AGENTSCOPE introduces the concept of neural invariants to specify agent behavior properties. AGENTSCOPE leverages LLM-guided reasoning atop the structured representation against neural invariants to pinpoint both the failure step and its type in the trajectory. We show the effectiveness of AGENTSCOPE on publicly available agent failure datasets (Who&When) and a more comprehensive dataset created by us (AgentErrata), where AGENTSCOPE significantly outperforms the current state of the art in fault localization and attribution accuracy. Our work shows that integrating structured abstractions with LLM-guided reasoning enables effective, reliable, and interpretable diagnosis for agent failures.

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arXiv AI Papers

Towards a Foundational Ontology for Identifying and Resolving Contradictions in Dialogue-based Human-Robot Interactions

Existing Human-Robot Interaction (HRI) literature has focused on identifying and structuring errors, failures, conflicts, and knowledge issues (called in this work as contradictions) in domain-specific dialogue-based interactions. However, there is still lack of a formal computational framework to represent and define these contradictions, interoperable and usable across HRI and human-agent interaction (HAI) domains. Thus, this research project aims to capture, represent, and evaluate the notion of (1) dialogue-based collaborative interaction and (2) related contradictions in a foundational ontology. METHONTOLOGY, a systematic approach to build domain-independent ontologies was applied. In the conceptualisation stage of the presented ontology, concepts and models from Activity Theory were used. Preliminary results presented in this short article are: (i) Natural language definitions of dialogues and related contradictions in HRI, (ii) Set Theoretic definitions of dialogues and contradictions, and (iii) First Order Logic (FoL) formulation of the contradiction concepts and three novel principles guiding dialogue-based interactions between humans and robots. In summary, we report on ongoing work to develop a foundational ontology based on Activity Theory called Activity Theory-based foundational ontology (ATFOt) to capture and represent the notion of contradictions in HRI.

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