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Papers y preprints de los feeds de investigación que seguimos.

6265documentos

arXiv AI Papers

Two-stage residual learning for calibrated uncertainty in solar irradiance forecasts

Accurate forecasting of renewable generation requires not only point predictions but also reliable estimates of the uncertainty attached to them, particularly at extended horizons. Machine learning models are increasingly used to predict solar output, but they typically report a single value and capture the associated uncertainty poorly. The standard remedy is to train a model to predict the parameters of an assumed probability distribution directly. Here we develop an alternative two-stage method, motivated by synthetic solar signal generation, in which the forecast error is modeled separately from the expected irradiance. A first long short-term memory (LSTM) network predicts the expected global horizontal irradiance, and a second network models the distribution of the forecast error, which is added back to the mean to give both the forecast and its uncertainty. Using historical weather data from the National Solar Radiation Database and a probability integral transform evaluation, we show that explicitly modeling the error brings the predicted standard deviation markedly closer to the historical value, reducing the deviation between the two by 34.6 percent for a standalone LSTM and by 56.5 percent when the LSTM is coupled to Gaussian process regression, the most reliable of the configurations tested. Because the method models the total forecast error directly, it captures the full predictive uncertainty that matters for decisions, rather than only the model contribution that dropout-based approaches estimate.

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arXiv AI Papers

IMUDINO: Self-distilled Foundation Model for Inertial Sensing

We present IMUDINO, the first foundation model (FM) for inertial sensing to achieve competitive performance across diverse sensing tasks including human activity recognition (HAR), health, motion capture, and odometry. Prior inertial FMs often focus on one subfield of inertial sensing and sometimes underperform state-of-the-art supervised methods (e.g., in HAR), making their scope considerably narrower than FMs for vision and natural language. Moreover, they often require fixed input length and sampling rate, and generalize poorly to unseen sensor locations. To build a general-purpose foundation model for inertial sensing, we adapt the DINO self-supervised learning (SSL) paradigm to inertial data through a set of semantics-preserving motion transformations that simulate variations in motion pattern and sensor setup. For model architecture, we use a plain transformer encoder with frequency-aware positional encoding that natively supports varying input length and sampling rate. This simple setup proved remarkably effective for learning global and dense features generalizable across users, sensor setups, tasks, and, in the case of robot odometry, embodiments. We hope IMUDINO can serve as a backbone for inertial sensing and kickstart the development of general-purpose inertial FMs.

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arXiv AI Papers

Typed Knowledge over Constructive Institutions

Type theories designed for mathematics or program verification need only that a proposition holds; proof irrelevance in conversion erases, at the kernel level, how a claim was established. A persistent knowledge store, by contrast, must retain that record: who established a claim, by which derivation or external tool, and under which assumptions. This volume presents the theory of Eigenius---a store of typed knowledge over constructive institutions---and develops its metatheory from that requirement. The kernel theory is a dependent type theory with cumulative universes, an impredicative universe of propositions, inductive families, and an intensional identity type. Proof irrelevance is an axiom with an explicit witness rather than a conversion rule, so proofs of a proposition are provably equal yet remain distinct terms. Definitional equality is joinability under an orthogonal rewriting system---confluent, injective on type formers, and decidable by a type-free test---while a separate subsumption judgment covers universe cumulativity, codomain-covariant function types, and declared class inclusions. We prove consistency via a set-theoretic model; develop a justification logic over the kernel's propositions to track evidence and support; organize environments as an institution so that store extensions are signature morphisms and external verdicts enter via comorphisms; formulate a typed knowledge-graph theory with records, classes, and refinements; and prove the correctness of conversion, normalization by evaluation, and bidirectional type checking relative to termination. A Lean 4 formalization accompanies the volume.

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arXiv AI Papers

Truncated backpropagation through time induces a two-sided gradient turnpike property

Truncated backpropagation through time reduces the computational burden of training recurrent models by restricting gradient computations to shorter temporal contexts. This induces two distinct boundary effects: missing past information perturbs the forward state evolution, while truncating the backward recursion omits future information. This motivates decoupling the interval over which gradient contributions are averaged for the parameter update from the surrounding temporal context over which they are computed. Under exponential decay of the state-transition Jacobians and mild regularity conditions, this leads to a two-sided gradient turnpike property: the error between truncated- and full-context gradient contributions decays exponentially with the distance from both context boundaries. We derive bounds for the averaged update gradient, yielding guarantees on gradient alignment and approximate full-context stationarity; under unbiased interval sampling and a Polyak-Lojasiewicz condition, these further imply a bound on the resulting optimality gap. Numerical experiments on the Wiener-Hammerstein benchmark illustrate the role of past and future context and the trade-off between predictive performance and computational cost.

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arXiv AI Papers

Spectral symmetry fingerprints in equivariant representations

Symmetry governs the organization of physical structures, while symmetry breaking reveals their transformations. In geometric deep learning, symmetry imposes rank constraints on equivariant representations, limiting the expressive capacity of equivariant graph neural networks (GNNs). Here we show that these constraints can instead be exploited: the singular-value spectra of equivariant representations provide a unified fingerprint of structural symmetry. We introduce spectral symmetry fingerprints (SymFP), which enable discrete point-group identification through rank-template matching and continuous symmetry analysis by quantifying spectral energy beyond target rank constraints. SymFP is orientation invariant and architecture agnostic, enabling a parameter-free GNN implementation. Its spectra can be reused across multiple target groups, and the resulting leakage scores satisfy subgroup monotonicity. Across synthetic structures, molecules, coordination complexes and large biological assemblies, SymFP accurately identifies point groups, tracks controlled symmetry breaking and reveals local and degree-resolved symmetry changes that can be obscured by global geometric measures. These results establish the spectral structure of equivariant representations as a general framework for characterizing symmetry across physical systems.

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arXiv AI Papers

PSGAgent: Enhancing MLLMs' Dynamic Visual Perception for Panoptic Scene Graph Generation via Agentic Reasoning

Panoptic Scene Graph generation (PSG) requires holistic yet fine-grained reasoning over complex relations among objects. However, current Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) applied to PSG suffer from a perception bottleneck: they function as static observers limited by fixed-resolution views. As a result, models often overlook critical relations involving small or peripheral objects and struggle to differentiate ambiguous predicates in complex scenes. To address these limitations, we propose PSGAgent, an agentic framework that enhances visual perception for PSG through a think-act-observe loop. PSGAgent allows MLLMs to dynamically refine their visual perception using two tools: a Region Zoom-In Tool for local exploration of small or boundary relations and a Visual Highlight Tool for relation-focused segmentation that filters out irrelevant contextual noise. To optimize decision-making, we construct a two-stage training pipeline. First, we create a high-quality, error-aware Multimodal Chain-of-Thought (M-CoT) dataset that provides robust supervision for cold-start learning. Then, we design a novel hierarchical reward mechanism integrated with Group Sequence Policy Optimization (GSPO) to enable strategic and adaptive tool usage. Extensive experiments on the PSG benchmark show that PSGAgent achieves SOTA performance, demonstrating strong capability in both holistic and fine-grained scene understanding.

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arXiv AI Papers

FreePath: Neural Mean Free Path for Image Dehazing

Single image dehazing requires recovering scene radiance from visual responses that are weakened and veiled by participating media. Existing methods either invert explicit scattering variables, which can be unstable under complex scenes, or learn direct restoration mappings, which often discard the physical organization of haze formation. We present FreePath, a neural mean free path framework for image dehazing. Instead of estimating atmospheric parameters, FreePath represents dehazing as feature space path state restoration, inspired by the expected distance a visual response can propagate before interacting with haze. Within a residual encoder and decoder, the Mean Free Path Residual Block learns path and collision fields to guide haze constrained correction, while FreePath State Conservation Integration preserves restored path states during deep feature aggregation. Experiments on paired CDD-11 haze images and real RTTS scenes show that FreePath consistently improves full reference fidelity, no reference perceptual quality, and visual faithfulness over representative dehazing baselines.

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arXiv AI Papers

Rigorously Certified Neural-Network Computation of Nonlinear Water Waves at Near-Machine Precision

We present a computational framework that combines machine-learning-based discovery with rigorous computer-assisted numerical certification and formal verification for strongly nonlinear partial differential equations. We demonstrate the approach for periodic gravity-capillary traveling water waves. Physics-informed neural networks are used as a search mechanism, with the wave profile, wave speed and, in continuation experiments, surface tension learned directly from the governing equations without training data. Through a staged training and refinement procedure, the neural networks achieve near-machine-precision residuals of the governing equations, even in strongly nonlinear regimes. A single formulation recovers high-amplitude Stokes waves, Crapper waves and Wilton ripples. Continuation from a high-amplitude Wilton ripple in surface tension reveals new high-amplitude candidate solutions. We freeze one candidate as an explicit finite representation and rigorously certify a uniform bound on its governing-equation residual using interval arithmetic, accounting for floating-point roundoff, Fourier truncation, aliasing and grid-to-continuum errors. This independently validates the neural-network accuracy. We formalize the certification argument in Lean, which machine-checks the deductions from certified numerical bounds to the residual theorem. Both the interval certification and formalization were developed with substantial assistance from a large language model, while the validity of the result remains independent of the language model: the numerical bounds are rigorously enclosed by interval arithmetic and the subsequent mathematical deductions are checked by the Lean kernel. Together, these steps provide a pipeline from neural discovery to rigorous numerical certification and machine-checked verification with auditable mathematical guarantees.

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arXiv AI Papers

CacheGraft: Enhancing Retrieval-Augmented Generation via Latent-Space Document Enrichment

Recent work in machine learning has demonstrated that transformer-based language model agents can communicate state not only through text, but also directly in latent space via key-value (KV) caches. In this paper, we argue that such cache-to-cache translation can provide utility beyond the original motivating application of real-time agent communication and can instead be utilized for retrieval-augmented generation (RAG). Building on the Cache-to-Cache (C2C) fusion framework, our proposed system CacheGraft encodes each corpus passage offline into a fused KV cache representation between a larger sharer model (4B parameters in our experiments) and a smaller receiver model (0.6B parameters) such that this cache can be injected into the receiver at query time with no need for the larger model. Across five QA benchmarks and two independent locally-run judges, CacheGraft improves answer quality over the text-only receiver baseline in 29 out of 30 comparisons, of which 17 of the 30 are statistically significant. Notably, these gains are zero-shot with respect to the fuser, which was never trained on retrieval data. These initial results suggest that latent-space document enrichment may be a promising avenue for enhancing the performance of RAG systems, particularly in compute-constrained settings where it is only feasible to deploy a small model at inference time.

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arXiv AI Papers

WeLM-Image: A Unified Image Generation Model towards Visual Intelligence

We present WeLM-Image, a unified image foundation model that integrates multimodal understanding into text-to-image generation, instruction-guided editing, and multi-reference synthesis. Designed for single-GPU deployment in WeChat's large-scale consumer applications, the model processes text, reference images, and target latents as one interleaved sequence. A Mixture-of-Transformers (MoT) backbone combines shared attention with independent understanding and generation parameters to limit optimization interference. Equipping each path with Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) modules provides sparse capacity, with 31.7B stored parameters and approximately 5.4B generation parameters activated per target latent token. A generation-oriented data engine combines a knowledge-grounded visual vocabulary with large-scale visual clustering to balance semantic coverage and editing tasks, while training-time evaluation guides iterative data refinement. Bilingual annotations and verified editing supervision support progressive training up to native 1.5K resolution. We optimize generation and editing separately with rubric- and checklist-based rewards, then consolidate the specialized policies through noise-aware on-policy distillation. In the reported overall comparisons, the 1536-resolution model ranks first among the evaluated open-source models on PRISM-Bench, Qwen-Image-Bench, and UnicBench. MeanFlow-based few-step distillation yields WeLM-Image-Turbo, which generates a 10241024 image in 4.98\,s on a single NVIDIA H20 GPU using eight guidance-free steps.

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arXiv AI Papers

Adversarial Multiplicity: Cherry-Picked Models and the Limits of Disclosure

Predictive multiplicity -- where similarly accurate models disagree on individual predictions -- can be leveraged to optimize secondary metrics (e.g., fairness) without loss in predictive performance. However, exploiting multiplicity opens the opportunity for motivated parties (or coding agents gaming their objectives) to steer predictions toward their own ends, such as in litigation or consumer disputes with automated decision-making tools. In these adversarial multiplicity settings, we distinguish soft manipulation, where parties optimize over innocuous model choices (e.g., hyperparameter tuning, feature engineering), from hard manipulation, where parties directly perturb model parameters. We find a sufficiently flexible model can be manipulated to reverse any individual prediction with minimal change in predictive performance while passing black-box audits, making hard manipulation viable in most regulatory settings. Soft manipulation has smaller effects but can pass white-box audits requiring full access to code and data. Even aggregate estimates can be manipulated: a model's estimated effect of climate change on wildfires can be fully reversed by hard edits and soft search. We find the Reconcile algorithm typically resolves most disagreements between models, but more often in favor of the manipulator when the opposing model is chosen adversarially compared to at random. We map which manipulations can plausibly pass existing regulations and disclosure policies, and recommend mitigations such as pre-registration, proof of model training, sensitivity analyses, multi-metric evaluations, and committing to versioned public models.

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arXiv AI Papers

When Scores Conflict with Preferences: Pre-Alignment Diagnosis and Adaptive Correction of Constraint Drift in DPO

Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) is increasingly used in settings where pairwise preferences coexist with pointwise criteria such as response length, answer correctness, or safety scores. When the two disagree, standard DPO treats pairs whose preferred output scores worse on the pointwise criterion (conflict pairs) in the same way as the remaining (matching) pairs. We characterize a systematic failure mode, constraint drift: for sufficiently small updates, conflict pairs tend to increase constraint cost while matching pairs tend to repair it, and the net change depends on their balance. This balance yields a closed-form pre-alignment diagnostic, ρ^{*}_{eq}, computable from dataset statistics, that indicates whether a dataset is self-correcting or requires intervention. Building on this diagnostic, we propose Conflict-aware DPO (CoDPO), which down-weights conflict pairs with a strength set from ρ^{*}_{eq} rather than tuned, and adds an adaptive margin shift that addresses residual drift during training. Empirically, drift grows monotonically with conflict exposure on the conflict-dominated domains, and the intervention decision given by ρ^{*}_{eq} matches the observed drift on every domain, including one that it identifies as self-correcting. On all four domains of the main comparison, CoDPO reduces drift while largely preserving the preference learning of vanilla DPO. Compared with hard filtering and recent constrained and multi-objective baselines, CoDPO also achieves a more favorable drift-preference trade-off.

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arXiv AI Papers

EnvOpt: Automated Optimization for Agent Environments

An LLM agent's cost and success depend on its model, its harness, and its environment. In addition to the widely studied directions of parameter tuning and harness optimization, we propose the third direction: optimization over stationary environments. Agents are often deployed in rich environments shared by many tasks, such as a company's Slack workspace or a complex collection of data sources, documents or tickets. We call these environments stationary environments. We introduce EnvOpt, a method for automated end-to-end optimization of stationary environments for any given model and harness, using real or synthetic tasks without needing any graders or reference answers. On AutomationBench, EnvOpt reduces the cost of Claude Haiku 4.5 by 72.7% and raises its pass rate by 14.34%. The same environment transfers to Opus 5, cutting its cost by 68.1% with a 1.34% gain. Added on top of Meta-Harness's optimized harness for Haiku 4.5, it lowers cost by a further 83.4% and adds 11.17% accuracy over Meta-Harness alone. Across 5 benchmarks, EnvOpt significantly reduces the cost of agents while improving or maintaining pass rate, and is transferable to different models and different harnesses. We also discuss common successful and rejected environment optimization strategies during automated optimization. More broadly, our results show that how information is represented to an agent shapes both its cost and its success, making the environment worth optimizing in addition to the parameters and the harness.

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arXiv AI Papers

Test-Time Self-Play: Scaling without a Verifier

Test-time scaling methods spend additional compute at deployment to improve a large language model's performance on a hard target problem. Most methods rely on a verifier that scores candidate solutions for correctness, using it to select among or refine the model's outputs. In many deployment regimes, however, a strong verifier on the target problem is unavailable. We introduce Test-Time Self-Play (TTSP), an approach to test-time scaling using asymmetric self-play without reliance on a verifier. On a difficulty-calibrated subset of LiveCodeBench v6, TTSP is the best-performing method at every verifier strength we evaluate, and the gap to the strongest baseline widens as the verifier weakens; in the no-verifier limit, TTSP yields a 35\% absolute improvement in mean@8. The gains hold across a range of verifier strengths, except when the base policy has near-zero coverage of the correct answer.

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arXiv AI Papers

Asymptotic-Preserving Tensor Neural Networks for 3D High-Field Kinetic Equations with Applications to Uncertainty Quantification

Kinetic equations in the high-field regime describe particle transport dominated by electric-field acceleration and collisional relaxation. These equations are widely used in simulations of plasmas and semiconductor devices. Typical models include the Vlasov--Poisson--Fokker--Planck (VPFP) and Boltzmann--Poisson systems. Their high dimensionality and multiscale nature pose two of the major challenges to accurate and efficient numerical solution. To address these challenges, we propose an asymptotic-preserving tensor neural network (APTNN) method. Specifically, to reduce high-dimensional computational costs and memory requirements, we adopt the canonical polyadic (CP) decomposition structure of TNNs to approximate their solutions. We show that the equation residuals retain this decomposition form, allowing high-dimensional loss integrals to be evaluated through combinations of one-dimensional integrals. The resulting computational and storage costs are reduced from exponential to polynomial growth with dimension. To improve the prediction accuracy in the high-field limit, we enhance the baseline AP loss by incorporating the first moment equation. The added loss term directly constrains the limiting flux closure to reduce its approximation error in the high-field regime. The enhanced AP loss can still be evaluated dimension-wise. Numerical results show that APTNN improves prediction accuracy in the high-field regime with significantly reduced computational costs and memory usage. For a 3D3V VPFP problem with multiple random inputs, training takes less than 30 minutes on a single GPU.

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arXiv AI Papers

Acoustic Anomaly Detection for Early Identification of Drill Jamming

In the context of Industry 4.0, predictive maintenance is essential to minimize unplanned downtime and ensure operational safety. In machining processes, drill jamming is a critical failure that compromises both workpiece quality and tool integrity. This work proposes an acoustic anomaly detection system using ultrasonic sensors to identify pre-failure patterns in Computer Numerical Control (CNC) machining. We release a public dataset of time- and frequency-domain acoustic features from 17 drills, and benchmark semi-supervised autoencoder-based normality modelling against supervised XGBoost classification using Leave-One-Drill-Out validation. The results demonstrate that the Autoencoder is highly effective for industrial safety, achieving a Recall of 1.00 and a consolidated F1-score of 0.81. Furthermore, the threshold-independent analysis shows that the Autoencoder better separates normal and pre-failure acoustic patterns, achieving a consolidated AUC of 0.8294, compared with 0.7559 for the supervised model under inter-tool covariate shift. In contrast, the supervised XGBoost achieved an average F1-score of 0.55 and failed to detect failures in some of the evaluated drills. The findings highlight that the ultrasonic spectrum provides a reliable window for identifying incipient mechanical instabilities, and the AE model offers a robust safety envelope by anticipating all jamming events across the tested drill bits.

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arXiv AI Papers

From What Is Used to What Is Missing: Rethinking Dynamic Rank in LoRA

Parameter-efficient fine-tuning with LoRA is governed by rank, which controls parameter budget and locally accessible task updates. Existing dynamic-rank methods mainly focus on capacity allocation, leaving unresolved whether the current adaptation space is sufficient for the task. We characterize the first-order information boundary of standard factor gradients, showing that their unobservable subspace coincides with the normal space of the low-rank manifold. Thus, factor gradients alone cannot distinguish under-optimization within the current space from task-relevant directions beyond its first-order reach. This motivates a geometric view of rank evolution, where tangent information optimizes existing degrees of freedom and the normal spectrum quantifies the value of new ones. Under a local quadratic model, we show that leading normal singular directions yield the locally optimal rank expansion, with spectral energy determining its gain. Building on this characterization, we propose GEAR, which turns the tangent--normal decomposition into rank evolution through tangent-space optimization, matrix-free normal-spectrum estimation for rank expansion, and task-induced geometric initialization. Across language and vision benchmarks, GEAR achieves the best average performance in all evaluated settings with substantially fewer trainable parameters. On LLaMA3-8B, it raises the average commonsense score from 86.61 to 88.45 while reducing trainable parameters from 42.0M to 14.4M.

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arXiv AI Papers

AtlasULP: Domain-aware Universal Link Prediction via Relation Atlas

Link prediction (LP) is a widely applied task in graph learning. Conventional LP approaches typically follow a dataset-specific paradigm, requiring independent training for each graph and incurring high computational and maintenance costs in large-scale applications. Motivated by these limitations, recent work explores Universal Link Prediction (ULP), aiming to enable training-free inference on arbitrary unseen graphs. However, existing methods primarily rely on subgraph sampling strategies to construct universal representations, which are unable to capture higher-order information due to the exponential growth of higher-order neighborhoods. As a result, they often under-perform on graphs where long-range signals are essential, such as biological networks. Moreover, their prediction models are typically domain-agnostic and lack the ability to adapt to different graph domains, leading to limited generalization. To address these challenges, we propose an Atlas-based Universal Link Prediction framework (AtlasULP), which introduces the relation atlas to capture structural associations between node pairs from both global and local perspectives, enabling a comprehensive characterization of connectivity signals across diverse graph domains. Building upon this representation, we develop a domain-guided prompting ULP model, which generates domain-aware prompt tokens from contextual structures and performs prompt-guided in-context prediction for adaptive link inference. Extensive experiments demonstrate that AtlasULP consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods across diverse graph domains.

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arXiv AI Papers

Selective Retrieval Routing for Multi-Violation Knowledge Graph Repair

Knowledge graphs often contain missing or inconsistent facts that undermine the applications built on them. Schema validation detects such violations but does not identify which of several valid repairs recovers the intended graph. External corpora can supply the evidence needed to identify the intended repair, but retrieving from them is costly and not always successful. We propose a framework for selective retrieval in iterative graph repair. An LLM repair agent explores and edits the graph, while a router controls its access to a researcher agent that retrieves external evidence. We extend a violation-injection framework to generate cases with multiple compatible violations and known reference repairs. The agent's repair outcomes on these cases provide supervision for training the deployment-specific router. On two building-automation datasets, researcher access improves repairs for some violations and degrades them for others, with effects differing across deployments. The router uses fewer repair-time tokens than always enabling access in all six evaluation suites. It achieves higher repair F_1 than always disabling access in five of six suites.

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arXiv AI Papers

Last-Iterate Convergence of Stochastic Gradient Methods for Unbounded Problems

Last-iterate convergence guarantees for stochastic gradient methods have attracted significant attention as practical implementations typically return the last iterate instead of an average of the iterates. In this paper, we study two approaches for analyzing the last-iterate convergence of proximal and projected stochastic gradient methods without bounded domain or bounded variance assumptions, where black-box variational inference serves as a running example. Under two related assumptions relaxing the bounded variance, we show near-optimal anytime rate {{O}}(1/{T}) for the last iterate. Moreover, when the horizon T is known, we remove the logarithmic factor and obtain the optimal order {O}(1/{T}), matching the order known under bounded variance or bounded domain assumptions.

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