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6265documentos

Accurate predictions of properties of energetic materials with tabular foundation models

We use TabPFN, a recently developed tabular foundation model, to predict three properties of energetic materials: impact sensitivity, decomposition temperature and crystal density. Without any hyperparameter tuning, TabPFN outperforms the best published models for all three properties. It also substantially outperforms a wide range of established machine-learning models, including tuned gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forests and Gaussian processes. This holds both when the models are given hand-crafted molecular descriptors and when they are given learned representations from Chemprop's message-passing neural network. In particular, for all three properties, TabPFN applied to Chemprop's own embedding is more accurate than Chemprop's predictions. TabPFN is also among the fastest models we consider, more than an order of magnitude faster than XGBoost. As TabPFN predicts the entire distribution of the target rather than just a single value, it offers built-in uncertainty quantification, which we compare with the empirical distributions of compounds with repeated measurements. Finally, we interpret the predictions using Shapley values, which rank the features by their importance.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

When does text encoding matter for language modeling?

UTF-8's role as the de facto encoding standard in language models introduces cross-lingual inequities due to its variable-length design. However, the effect that this encoding choice has on model performance remains largely unexamined. In this work, we investigate how text encoding impacts the performance of byte-level language models, comparing UTF-8 with a wide range of other encoding strategies, including other Unicode-based approaches, language-specific encodings, and our own customized encodings. To facilitate our analysis, we propose Aether: a hybrid encoding scheme that uses script-specific encodings for our target setting while maintaining full Unicode coverage through UTF-8 fallbacks, using this framework to model four orthographically diverse languages. Surprisingly, we find that while languages with information-dense characters (Chinese, Korean) significantly benefit from compressive encodings, languages whose characters carry less information individually (Georgian, Tamil) are largely insensitive to encoding choice. In light of these findings, we argue that text encoding should be a language-specific design decision, rather than a universal default.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

UGG: Unified Generative Geometry Model

Understanding 4D scenes is a core challenge in visual intelligence, requiring models to jointly capture scene geometry, appearance, and dynamics from partial observations. However, existing approaches are subdivided into feedforward models for direct geometric prediction, and generative models for visual synthesis. We introduce UGG, a unified framework for 4D scene understanding that jointly models RGB video and geometric representations such as depth and camera pose. By assigning different noise levels across modalities and time, UGG formulates visual generation and geometric prediction as conditional completion within a single generative model. This flexible formulation enables the model to learn from diverse, heterogeneous datasets with different subsets of geometric and visual annotations. Furthermore, our generative formulation enables inference-time search over multiple plausible scene hypotheses, using geometric evidence extracted from observed RGB frames to improve geometric prediction without ground truth geometry. We demonstrate UGG's effectiveness over non-unified baselines across camera-controlled video generation, depth estimation, and camera pose prediction, including in challenging sparse observation settings. Code and visualizations are available at https://ugg-model.github.io/

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

One Policy for 100 Household Tasks: Our Solution for the 2026 BEHAVIOR Challenge

We describe our solution for the 2026 BEHAVIOR Challenge: 100 long-horizon household tasks in the OmniGibson simulator. We placed 9th on the final leaderboard, the only independent team in the top 10. The core of the solution is a single vision-language-action (VLA) model, one checkpoint for all 100 tasks, built on our 1st-place 2025 solution, which is based on π_{0.5}. On the 50 tasks shared with 2025, its Q rises from 0.260 to 0.371; across all 100 tasks it scores 0.392. Our main conclusion from 2025 was that the model was undertrained, so most of the 2026 work went into training the model for longer, optimizing some training parameters, making each training step slightly faster and reducing the gradient noise: a migration from 50 to 100 tasks (semantic stages built from the demonstrations' skill annotations, task and stage embeddings of new tasks warm-started from similar old ones, and a 21-dimensional action space matching the teleoperation controls); variance-reduced multi-sample flow matching with a simple noise-vs-compute model that picks the number of action-expert samples per observation without ablations; and a 200k-step training run, about one pass over the 211M frames of the demonstrations. A cloud evaluation infrastructure keeps a shared record with provenance, episode diagnostics and restorable simulator states, and runs six simulators on one GPU together faster than real time. On top of the learned policy, 14 tasks are routed to a GPT-6 Astra coding agent that controls the robot through observation and motion tools, starting every episode from a frozen copy of its own practice session on training instances. Across these 14 tasks, Astra's mean Q is 0.639, against 0.108 for the learned policy. The public submission included only part of the Astra results and scored 0.446 Q with 27.3% full-task success.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Two Communities, One Problem: Branch-and-Bound vs. A* for Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling

Branch-and-Bound (B&B) and A^* are popular exact search methods originating from Operations Research and Artificial Intelligence, respectively. Although the two methods share fundamental search principles, their different ways of exploring the search space can lead to substantially different computational performance. We investigate these differences using the Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling Problem (RCPSP) as an exemplary problem setting. We first establish the relationships between mixed-integer linear programming, state-action, and timed Petri-net representations. Since B&B and A^* admit numerous algorithmic enhancements, we focus on relatively basic implementations. This allows us to examine the fundamental differences between the methods rather than compare the performance of state-of-the-art solvers. By using the same lower bound and best-first node selection, we isolate the effects of the search mechanisms, particularly the identification of equivalent states reached through different scheduling decision sequences. Experiments on 480 benchmark RCPSP instances show that graph-based A^* substantially outperforms the B&B variants considered. With additional pruning rules, A^* proves optimality for all 480 instances, compared with 445 for best-first B&B under the same time and memory limits. Depth-first B&B uses less memory and can find feasible solutions even when the search does not finish within the time limit. Stronger linear programming relaxations reduce the search space but introduce considerable computational overhead. Our findings highlight the importance of duplicate-state detection and clarify the computational trade-offs between the search approaches. These insights can help researchers select an appropriate method and identify opportunities to incorporate effective mechanisms from one approach into the other.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Quantifying the Sampling Frequency Invariance of Time-Series Foundation Models for Sensor Data Applications

Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) are increasingly used in sensor applications, where sampling frequency (SF) varies across sensors, devices, and operating modes (e.g., power saving). Ideally, TSFMs must remain effective during such SF changes, provided the SF retains task-critical bandwidth. In this paper, we stress-test 4 prominent TSFMs: MOMENT, Chronos-2, Moirai-MoE, and TimesFM, to quantify their SF-invariance and investigate whether their behavior tracks the resulting loss of information bandwidth rather than the SF value itself. Our stress-test probes 3 dimensions: (i) the shift in embeddings, (ii) the degradation in forecasting performance, and (iii) the degradation in downstream performance, quantified by three novel metrics: FSI, FDI, and CDI, respectively. To our knowledge, this is the first study to place SF-invariance at the core of TSFM evaluations. Our results characterize: (i) how SF-invariance depends on the margin between signal's native-SF and the bandwidth its task requires, (ii) how much of that invariance the choice of TSFM explains, and (iii) how much of TSFM's performance degradation under a lower SF reflects information loss rather than a limitation of their abilities. These findings reframe SF-invariance as a measurable, signal-aware property of the (signal X TSFM) pair, and guide practitioners on when TSFMs display SF-invariance.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

DnNP: Denoising Input Uncertainty in Neural Processes

Neural Processes (NPs) are flexible meta-learning models capable of uncertainty quantification across diverse applications. However, the standard NP framework assumes access to noise-free inputs. This is unrealistic in many practical settings, where sensor noise or measurement errors are unavoidable. This discrepancy between model assumptions and real-world data can significantly degrade prediction quality and uncertainty estimates. We introduce Denoising Neural Processes (DnNPs), a principled extension of the NP framework that explicitly models input uncertainty. We train DnNPs via variational inference. DnNPs jointly learn to denoise corrupted inputs and perform meta-learning, making them robust to noisy training data. We demonstrate DnNPs' effectiveness on both synthetic and real-world datasets, showing consistent improvements in prediction and uncertainty quantification compared to standard NPs. On PM2.5 spatial interpolation from real-world air quality sensors, DnNP reduces RMSE by up to 30% and NLL by up to 73% relative to standard NPs. We also provide theoretical grounding: we show that the Bayes-optimal predictor under noisy inputs belongs to the DnNP model class, and that plug-in models with fixed observation variance incur an irreducible KL divergence gap that DnNP provably avoids.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Earlybird: Predictive Streaming Speech Recognition in 29M Parameters

Streaming speech recognizers output a word only after the speaker has finished it, typically 90-400 ms later. For a voice agent every millisecond counts: the sooner the words are outputted, the sooner the agent can start a search or plan its reply. We present Earlybird, a 29M-parameter streaming recognizer (16.8 MB at 4 bits). Earlybird learns from audio cut off at random points, including partway through a word, and is asked to predict every word that is due by then in full, plus a guess of the next two words. Its raw token probabilities give a confidence for every word including the one still being spoken. On clean audiobook speech (LibriSpeech test-clean), the median word is predicted correctly 90 ms before the speaker finishes it, while released streaming models get it 90 to 400 ms after it ends. Earlybird is the earliest on all six test sets we time, covering audiobooks, TED talks, public speech, earnings calls, and synthetic speech. On the same audiobooks, 69% of words are predicted correctly before they end, against 3-25% for the other models. For words still being spoken, confidence is calibrated, with an expected calibration error (ECE) of 3.7 to 5.5. On the eight English Open ASR Leaderboard sets, it is more accurate than Moonshine Tiny on every set and roughly ties Whistle, a model of the same size.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Evaluating LLM-Generated World Models for Neuro-Symbolic Reasoning

Formal world models can support planning, verification, and safety reasoning, but constructing them from open-ended natural-language situations is difficult, particularly in multi-agent settings where several formalizations may be plausible. We study whether five LLMs can generate such world models as partially observable stochastic games and whether mechanical validity is sufficient to establish that the resulting model faithfully represents the intended decision problem. We introduce a benchmark of 44 scenarios spanning game, situational, and cultural settings and evaluate generated world models along three dimensions: mechanical validity, reference-relative structural agreement, and semantic criteria. Across three empirical tracks, we analyze 410 first-pass generations. In the reference-backed game track, 134/135 generated world models pass a strict mechanical audit, yet mean permutation-invariant structural F1 is only 0.366, with just 28/134 mechanically valid models exactly matching the authored reference. In the cultural track, explicitly naming the country changes the generated structural representation for most LLMs while producing only small changes in automated semantic scores. These results show that executability is a necessary but insufficient criterion for LLM-generated world models: models that are mechanically valid can still differ substantially in the structure used by downstream neuro-symbolic reasoning and planning.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Precision on Demand: Escalating Weight Bits at Uncertain Decoding Steps in a Small Local Model

Local decoding usually fixes one weight precision for the whole generation. We study a different allocation: store 8-bit weights, decode with their top 4 bits, and redo a step at 8 bits only when the low-precision output distribution looks uncertain (entropy above a threshold or a small top-two margin). Quantization is simulated, the model is Qwen3-0.6B, and the benchmark is GSM8K. Cost is counted in weight bytes read per token. On 36724 replayed steps the entropy of the low pass ranks argmax flips with AUC 0.93. At a 15% escalation budget it catches 78% of flips and the margin gate 94%, against the 15% expected for a random gate of equal rate (a computed expectation, not a run). In 150 live problems all-high scores 64.0% and all-low 55.3% (McNemar p=0.053). An entropy gate with a 16% escalation rate scores 62.7% at 0.87 of the all-high weight bytes. Its paired difference is -1.3 (-8.0 to +5.3) points to all-high and +7.3 (+0.0 to +14.7) points to all-low (p=0.080), so the live data do not separate the gate from either end. Verified speculation reaches zero KL at similar bytes in the same cost model. A live random control, a thinking-mode phase rule, a second model and live KL were not run.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Exploring Post-Hoc Disentanglement of Audio Foundation Models for Music Similarity

Audio foundation models like CLAP, MuQ, and MERT excel at capturing general musical similarity. On the other hand, their entangled latent spaces limit interpretability and fine-grained attribute control. Conditional Similarity Networks (CSN) address this by pairing a backbone representation model with learned masks that gate the embedding space into attribute-specific subspaces. However, existing methods train the backbone from scratch, rather than leveraging pretrained foundation models. We instead present a systematic study of post-hoc disentanglement, adapting CSN to gate frozen pretrained embeddings. We evaluate adding trainable parameters to adapt the embedding under different masking and pooling regimes across two datasets. Our findings show that minimal adaptation capacity is sufficient for post-hoc gating to improve both attribute-specific disentanglement and overall retrieval performance, while pooling, masking, and depth choices yield limited additional gains.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Bits or permutations? Spending a fixed inference budget on weight precision or on option-order averaging in small local language models

Local language models can save memory by storing weights in fewer bits, and they can reduce sensitivity to the order of answer options by averaging a few reorderings. We ask whether the first makes the second worse, and which is the cheaper way to spend a fixed budget. On Qwen3-0.6B and Qwen3-1.7B with simulated round-to-nearest weight quantization (8, 6, 4 and 3 bits, fp16 reference), read from the logits of the letters A to D on ARC-Easy, ARC-Challenge, MMLU and HellaSwag (300 items each), 6 bits lose no accuracy against fp16 (they score +1.8 (+1.0 to +2.5) and +0.9 (+0.3 to +1.5) points higher, which we do not explain), and 8 bits change it by -0.7 (-1.1 to -0.3) and -0.4 (-0.7 to -0.2) points. At 4 bits the answer-slot skew rises from 0.15 to 0.53 (0.6B) and from 0.07 to 0.12 (1.7B); Gaussian noise at the same weight SNR gives 0.15 and 0.37 (two draws) and 0.19 (one draw), so the control is inconclusive on whether rounding adds slot skew beyond equal-power noise. Flip rates rise but stay below an accuracy-matched baseline of independent uniform errors. Averaging four cyclic orders recovers +12.6 points at 4 bits for 0.6B (+5.3 at fp16). We price bits and passes in one machine-independent unit, weight bytes read times passes. In cost-matched pairs, extra orders beat extra bits only when the weights have 6 or more bits, and the decision table reduces to: use 6-bit weights and spend the rest of the budget on up to four orders, one pass each. Everything is simulated on two small models with the simplest quantizer; a title-level search found no earlier study of quantization together with option order.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Causal Concept Explanations for Deep Neural Models

Concept-based explanations in neural models are important for the development, certification, and adoption of autonomous systems. Yet, interpretability remains correlational. Without methods to guide and quantify causal relationships between explanations, a concept explanation can be provided without being necessary or sufficient for the observed output thereby appearing correct while misleading. We introduce Causal Concept Wrapper Network (CCW-Net), the first use of interventional mediation analysis from fields such as economics, medicine, and epidemiology as a training objective to align causal effects of concept-based explanations with a model's output. We further apply mediation analysis as an evaluation tool to quantify, per concept label combination, how much of any model's output is causally attributable to each concept explanation. As a training objective, CCW-Net shapes a model's concept representations such that they are both necessary and sufficient for the outputs they are credited with and independent of other concepts' contributions. Counterfactual concept representations anchor a set of causal alignment criteria: necessity, sufficiency, and independence. Necessity drives irrelevant concept effects toward zero, sufficiency ensures relevant concept representations fully reconstruct a model's output, and independence enforces the total effect decomposes linearly across concepts. We evaluate CCW-Net across aircraft control, driving, and image classification. CCW-Net provides a step toward concept-based explanations that are not merely interpretable, but quantifiably causal, supporting safer evaluation, certification, and deployment of transparent and trustworthy neural models.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Discovering Equations for the Thermodynamics of South Asian Monsoon Precipitation

South Asian monsoon precipitation depends on the thermodynamic structure of the lower troposphere, but how its ingredients combine to shape precipitation remains unclear, partly because this dependence is nonlocal in the vertical. We use symbolic distillation, which combines neural networks and symbolic regression, to discover interpretable precipitation equations from 21 years of June-August reanalysis data. Neural networks first learn the vertical thermodynamic structure most relevant to precipitation, condensing each variable into a single interpretable feature not tied to a particular vertical grid. Then, symbolic regression derives closed-form equations from these features and the surface state. Our best equation explains 1.5 times as much precipitation variance as a widely used buoyancy-based diagnostic and recovers about 85% of neural network skill while using about a thousand times fewer parameters. Unlike the buoyancy diagnostic, which adds moisture and instability, the equations treat them as competing controls, with the heaviest precipitation occurring when the lower free troposphere is humid. Over ocean, sensible heating is associated with additional precipitation mainly when near-surface air is warm and moist, improving predicted precipitation and its diurnal cycle. Although the learned features were optimized only for precipitation prediction, the equations largely respond to each feature as expected from convective physics, consistent with the reanalysis. These responses reduce the dependence of monsoon precipitation on the entire vertical column to a few simple, testable constraints that could guide data-driven precipitation models to make them more physically consistent.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

REAL Loss: Optimizing Real Expected Acceptance Length for Speculative Decoding

Speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by having a draft model propose multiple tokens for the target model to verify in one pass. The speedup is governed by the expected acceptance length (EAL), yet standard training objectives such as cross-entropy, KL divergence, and total variation focus only on distribution matching or single-step overlap. Recent studies instead propose block-level training objectives, aiming to optimize EAL directly. However, these objectives remain surrogates rather than exact formulations of EAL. For example, some average later acceptance over target-distributed continuations rather than the verification branches selected by accepted tokens, introducing a covariance gap that can reverse the gradient direction. We analyze this gap and derive REAL, a real EAL training loss that uses path weights for unbiased estimation and Rao-Blackwellization for variance reduction. In a controlled loss-level comparison with a Qwen3.6-35B-A3B target and a Domino drafter, REAL outperforms WTV, VSD, DBLast, and the static LK baseline on probabilistic serving acceptance length across 9 task subsets and 5 evaluation seeds. These gains require only a change to the training loss, with no modification to the drafter architecture or inference procedure, demonstrating the practicality of real EAL training. A reference implementation of the REAL loss is available at https://github.com/King-ty/speculators/tree/real-loss.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

A Margin Perspective on LoRA: Robustness to Catastrophic Forgetting and Adapter Merging (MaLoRA)

Low-rank adaptation (LoRA) is the de facto method for parameter-efficient fine-tuning of large neural networks, achieving strong task adaptation with minimal trainable parameters and low optimization cost. Beyond this efficiency, practitioners have observed two striking properties: robustness to catastrophic forgetting and the ability to merge independently trained adapters into a single model that performs competitively across multiple tasks. These properties are central to continual and multi-task learning, yet remain poorly understood. In this work, we provide a theoretical explanation through a unified margin-based perspective. We analyze LoRA in multiclass linear classification under a near-orthogonal task regime with _2-regularization, and characterize the optimal LoRA adapter across regularization regimes. Our analysis shows that, in an intermediate regime of regularization parameters, the optimal adapter aligns with the max-margin solution on the fine-tuning data. Building on this characterization, we derive two key consequences. First, we obtain closed-form expressions for the margins on pre-training and fine-tuning data, revealing a precise margin trade-off: the regularization parameter controls the balance between retention and adaptation. Second, we analyze adapter merging, proving that merged models achieve positive margin on each task and deriving optimal mixing coefficients that balance margins across tasks and maximize the margin over their union. These results lead to a simple, training-free merging rule, which we term margin-based LoRA merging (MaLoRA). Experiments on modern architectures and real datasets validate our theoretical predictions, showing that MaLoRA matches or outperforms several adapter-merging baselines across a range of vision and language classification tasks.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Blurring the Block Boundaries: Overlapping Block Denoising for Efficient Diffusion Language Models

Diffusion Language Models (DLMs) have emerged as effective alternatives to autoregressive models for latency-critical tasks, enabling faster token generation. Recent advances employ block diffusion with self-editing capabilities, where each block refines tokens iteratively before advancing to the next one. Yet each block is only as fast as its slowest token, and the next block cannot start before it. We suggest Blurring the Block Boundaries (B3), a novel method with which two blocks are refined in parallel within a shared forward pass. B3 calibrates itself on the fly, opening the next block only once the model is ready to start generating it. It is a training-free and hyperparameter-free acceleration method which seamlessly integrates within any self-editing block diffusion model. Evaluated on state-of-the-art DLMs across 10 diverse datasets spanning varied tasks and difficulty levels, B3 results in on par generation quality and 11.5-14.5% speedup compared to the base model, pushing the Pareto frontier for latency-quality trade-offs in DLM inference.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

An Energy-Based Perspective on Machine Learning

Energy-based models (EBMs) define a distribution through a scalar energy, p_θ(x)(-E_θ(x)), and are usually presented as one model family among many. This tutorial has a broader goal: beyond introducing EBMs, it uses them as a single lens that connects the different aspects of machine learning. Any EBM is specified by three choices, the energy, which determines what the model represents; the inference procedure, which samples from or optimizes the energy; and the learning method, which fits the energy to data. We first develop these components, including sampling, variational inference, and learning by maximum likelihood, noise contrastive estimation, pseudolikelihood, score matching, and adversarial training, and show that the learning methods share one contrastive structure. We then show that discriminative models, generative models such as GANs, normalizing flows, diffusion and autoregressive models, representation learning methods such as contrastive learning, word2vec, BERT, denoising auto-encoders, and diffusion representations, reinforcement learning with EBM policies and world models, inverse reinforcement learning, and planning, as well as inference-time computation with verifiers, are all EBMs that differ in these three choices, mostly in how they handle the partition function and sampling. This view explains existing methods, organizes them into a common framework, and suggests new algorithms by replacing one component while keeping the others, with composition of energies as a principled way to combine learned models at inference time.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Cognitive Mapping of Learning by Thinking Mechanisms in Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) increasingly exhibit capabilities that resemble human Learning by Thinking (LbT), the acquisition of new insight through internal processes such as explanation and reasoning, without new external input. A systematic account of the cognitive mechanisms behind these capabilities, and of their limits, remains underdeveloped. This paper proposes a Cognitive LbT Framework that maps four mechanisms (Reflective Reasoning, Synthetic Memory Formation, Internal Simulation, and Conceptual Self-Organization) onto computational processes in LLMs. Drawing on representative methods, including chain-of-thought prompting, self-consistency, self-reflection, Tree-of-Thoughts search, Self-Instruct, and self-taught reasoning, the analysis argues that selected methods can functionally approximate aspects of these mechanisms and can improve performance on some tasks without additional labeled examples, although this does not always constitute durable learning in model parameters. For example, Self-Instruct generated approximately 52,000 instructions from 175 seed tasks and reported a 33% absolute improvement on Super-NaturalInstructions (Y. Wang et al., 2023). The same mechanisms also produce characteristic failures, including hallucination diffusion, model collapse, concept drift, and high computational cost. These failures are not isolated technical defects but follow from four structural asymmetries between LLMs and human cognition: the identity of generator and monitor, closed learning loops without external grounding, symbolic rather than sensorimotor simulation, and the cost of inference-time computation. The framework yields testable propositions about when LbT in LLMs should succeed or fail and offers a structured basis for designing more reliable autonomous learning systems.

arXiv AI Papersanteayer

Uncertainty-Aware Hybrid Offline Reinforcement Learning with Online Action Selection Enabled by Sparse Gaussian-Process Critics

Start-ups and grade changes remain largely operator-driven, while developing and maintaining dynamic models for model-based control requires substantial engineering effort. Hybrid Offline Learning and Online Optimisation (HOFLON) uses one-step offline reinforcement learning to select actions from historical transition data. In its original implementation, the online objective combines the predicted return from a tree-ensemble critic with an adversarial-autoencoder (AAE) penalty for unfamiliar state-action pairs. We examine the effect of this penalty and replace the critic and AAE with a sparse variational Gaussian-process (sGP) critic. Actions maximise μ- κσ, an uncertainty-adjusted estimate of the return from one action followed by the historical operating practice. On the HOFLON polymerisation-reactor benchmark, removing the AAE from HOFLON led to 4 failed start-ups in 15 runs over five critics. At its published weight, the variation in the AAE penalty is four orders of magnitude smaller than the variation in the tree-ensemble critic. Nevertheless, it changes actions when the predicted returns of competing candidates are nearly equal, and paired runs with and without the penalty diverged from the first move. With a Matérn-5/2 sGP critic, κ= 0 led to failure in 13 of 15 runs, whereas with κ= 3 none of 15 runs (five critics, three noise realisations) failed. The median and lowest returns were 13,464 and 13,398 (HOFLON: 13,393 and 12,411). A squared-exponential sGP critic with learned inducing inputs needed κ3 to remain within the empirical data support in steady state, and then settled with a temperature offset of 2.0 K.