We study nonparametric estimation and forecasting for GARCH-type processes and propose an iterated neural estimator that alternates between estimating the recursion map and updating the unobserved conditional variances. Under mild conditions, we establish finite-sample bounds for the time-averaged in-sample variance-path error and show that the estimator is minimax rate-optimal up to logarithmic factors. Under stationarity and mixing conditions, we establish the same rate for recursion-map estimation and derive finite-sample bounds for out-of-sample variance forecasts and expected excess Gaussian quasi-likelihood (QLIKE) loss. The convergence rates depend on the true lag orders and remain unchanged when the fitted orders are overspecified. Simulation studies illustrate the effectiveness of our estimators under nonlinear and time-varying volatility dynamics. Real-data applications suggest that our neural methods perform competitively and can incorporate option-price and high-frequency information.
Accurate prediction of Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) scores from multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) remains challenging, more so than clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) detection. Given the importance of lesion location in PI-RADS scoring, we evaluated whether incorporating prostate zonal masks improves PI-RADS prediction and csPCa detection across multiple architectures (3D ResNet-18, ResNet-50, and ViT) using a large-scale internal dataset. Anatomical guidance generally improved performance across architectures, with the best results achieved by ResNet-18 with 2-zone guidance for PI-RADS prediction (QWK = 0.511) and ResNet-50 with 5-zone guidance for csPCa detection (AUC = 0.809). Fine-tuned results on external datasets further demonstrated the benefits of anatomical guidance. Furthermore, models with anatomical guidance improved the utility of model-predicted PI-RADS scores for PI-RADS-based csPCa detection (positive defined as PI-RADS>=3). Combining model-predicted and expert-assigned PI-RADS scores significantly increased the AUC from 0.711 to 0.756 (p < 0.05), suggesting that AI-derived PI-RADS scores may provide complementary information to expert assessment for csPCa detection. Overall, our findings highlight the value of incorporating prostate zonal anatomy into deep learning-based prostate MRI assessment.
An AI inventory is a structured, often public record in which a government or organization lists and describes the AI systems it uses or plans to use. Studies of single AI inventory releases describe what systems do but say little about how they are governed over time. We linked entries across three releases of the US Federal AI Use Case Inventory (2023--2025), compared answers only where both releases required them, and analyzed governance accounts through a dual deductive-inductive approach, guided by the Algorithmic Decision-Making Adapted for the Public Sector (ADMAPS) framework. As the inventory grew from 710 to 3,611 entries from 2023 to 2025, fewer required answers were left blank, but accountability was rewritten through three mechanisms. Each release redrew the scope of the questions; agency-assigned classifications gated what was reported; and answers were also overwritten, with gains and losses concentrated in single agencies and little account of human oversight and judgment. These findings show that each release redraws the boundary of accountability and leaves the public to re-stitch the records, a condition we term palimpsestic accountability. We recommend versioned records, reasons for every reclassification, public files that distinguish kinds of missing answers, and oversight documented as conditions to improve public sector AI accountability.
Parallel decoding speeds up masked diffusion language models by writing several tokens per forward pass. Published commit rules choose these tokens by testing the predicted distributions. Under sampling the written tokens are drawn, and these tests do not see them. We find that answer quality follows the reliability of the tokens actually written. An answer's log probability splits into this reliability and the dependence within each step. We propose PACT, a training-free commit rule that draws the tokens first, certifies the set it will write and spaces the positions of each step apart. This certificate holds at every temperature, and we show that no rule with the same guarantee commits more positions. Experiments use four models of the LLaDA and Dream families and HumanEval, MBPP, GSM8K, MATH500 and IFEval benchmarks. PACT reaches the quality of published commit rules with fewer forward passes. Spacing removes positions from each step, yet it usually lowers the total cost because later steps then write more tokens. At the same speed, published decoders also write a word twice in a row far more often than PACT. These results suggest that commit rules should certify the tokens they write. Code is available at https://github.com/LiZaiyuan0619/PACT.
What's Changed ollama launch claude now applies the model's output token limit for Claude Code, so cloud models no longer run into the 128k default cap Cloud web search responses on /api/chat are now decoded correctly, including compressed responses OpenAI-compatible endpoints no longer override a model's packaged sampler defaults — clients that send no temperature/top_p get the model's own values…
Large language model (LLM) services face rapidly rising serving costs. To sustain free or affordable access for a broad user base, alternative monetization mechanisms are needed. Native advertising offers a promising approach, as it creates economic value by aligning user intent with merchant offerings. Yet how to integrate sponsored content naturally into LLM responses remains largely underexplored. Existing approaches primarily rely on prompt-level injection, multi-pass rewriting, or fine-tuning, which can compromise response quality or introduce additional computational costs. We propose AdSteer, a lightweight decoding-time advertising framework that adaptively adjusts token probabilities to integrate contextually appropriate advertisement into responses. AdSteer calibrates the strength and duration of advertising influence, making sponsored content a natural part of the response. Experiments on GEM-Bench across three application scenarios show that AdSteer achieves an average improvement of 14.1% in overall score over the strongest baselines and 22.5% fewer total tokens on average than rewrite-based methods. These results demonstrate that AdSteer provides an effective and practical solution for native advertising in LLMs.
Y Combinator Garry Tan has jokingly admitted that he's suffered from "cyber psychosis” and barely sleeps sometimes because he’s so excited to be working with…
State Space Models (SSMs) such as Mamba have become a popular alternative to Transformer models, due to their reduced memory consumption and higher throughput at generation compared to their Attention-based counterparts. On the other hand, the community has built up a considerable body of knowledge on how to train Transformers, and many pretrained Transformer models are readily available. To facilitate…
Jill Hazelbaker will join OpenAI as Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, leading the company’s global communications and corporate positioning.
