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192documentos

14últimos 7 días

arXiv AI Papers

A team of Gemini 4 Argon agents beats Minecraft

We placed four Gemini 4 Argon agents in a sandboxed Minecraft survival world and gave them one goal: defeat the Ender Dragon. Each agent controlled a player via an open-source library called Mineflayer and coordinated with its teammates through in-game chat and shared memory. No one assigned roles or wrote game logic. The agents planned, wrote, and debugged every program themselves. Researchers could watch the run on a live dashboard and pause or stop it at any time, but they had no cause to intervene. Starting from a randomly generated world on Easy difficulty, the team wrote 2,783 programs and defeated the dragon in 27 hours and 14 minutes, dying 605 times along the way. To our knowledge, this is the first end-to-end autonomous completion of Minecraft by AI agents, achieved using only the standard Mineflayer library without pre-scouted seeds or other game-specific tools written by humans. Winning required the agents to keep a coherent plan across thousands of dependent steps for more than a day. Complex real-world software engineering and enterprise tasks demand the same long-horizon coding and multi-agent coordination. We describe the setup, how the run unfolded, the team's strategies (dividing the work, sharing what they learned, recovering each other's items), and the limits of the result.

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arXiv AI Papers

AI Consilium: a Benchmark of LLM Clinical Multidisciplinary Second Opinions

Large language models (LLMs) can generate differential diagnoses for complex cases, but a useful second opinion must also be factually grounded, clinically coherent, actionable, and safe. We developed a multidimensional benchmark using 300 diagnostically resolved NEJM--MedQA cases: 110 for physician reference ratings and Judge calibration and 190 for held-out evaluation. Eight single-model pipelines generated independent role-specific opinions and interactive-consilium reports under free-form and structured clinical-reasoning conditions. A physician-calibrated LLM Judge evaluated 3,040 final reports and the corresponding structured primary-role outputs. Model identity separated report quality more strongly than response format. Structured final reports had higher overall mean scores in seven of eight model pipelines, with their clearest advantage in management (2.740 vs. 2.436). Compared with the structured pre-consilium primary-role opinion, the complete structured synthesis had higher pooled scores across all five shared criteria, with the largest increases in problem prioritization, factual grounding, and reasoning coherence. GPT-5.6-Sol led every evaluated component and reached consensus in the fewest review rounds. These findings show that the benchmark can distinguish model capability, the contribution of multidisciplinary synthesis, criterion-specific effects of response structure, deliberation dynamics, and inference requirements within one common-case evaluation.

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arXiv AI Papers

Sharp and Stable Label-Free Calibration Certificates from Logical Coherence

Query-conditioned probabilistic predictors answer logically related questions one at a time, and labels to check their calibration are often missing. For each restriction on what a bettor's stakes may use, a minimax theorem identifies, for finitely supported laws of the answers, the sharp label-free lower bound on the corresponding calibration residual. On bundles of different events its mean, marginal and joint stages can separate strictly, and a bundle's bound cannot be attributed to one question without assumptions on the others. The sharp marginal bound is discontinuous in the answers, and no label-free lower bound continuous in the Wasserstein distance stays within a constant factor of it. Lipschitz stakes give a stable bound, sharp for a smooth calibration residual and, for every positive Lipschitz constant, positive exactly when the sharp marginal bound is. On i.i.d. streams, projected online gradient ascent at fixed nodes gives fixed-horizon certificates whose shortfall is bounded by grid, learning and statistical terms, and predictable betting gives anytime-valid ones. In a preregistered study of four predictors on two data sets, all seven confirmatory certificates were positive (the eighth pair did not pass the pilot). A certificate shows only that calibration is at least this bad; zero means "not refuted".

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arXiv AI Papers

PRISMATIC : Prescription Risk Inspection System for Multi-Agent Treatment Interaction in Clinical Decision-Making

Medical prescribing errors for multimorbid patients, who require complex drug regimens, are a major patient safety concern. These errors often stem from fragmented decision-making across medical specialties, a critical coordination failure that leads to adverse drug events and rehospitalizations. To address this coordination challenge, we introduce PRISMATIC, a multi-agent architecture where specialized agents, each representing a workflow role, collaboratively generate and refine treatment plans. Operating on a blackboard architecture, the system first structures patient information from clinical notes, then iteratively develops safe, rational, and interpretable drug regimens. The agents' collaboration is governed by two novel adaptive coordination mechanisms: (1) Dynamic Self-Updating Weight Adjustment (DSWA), a long-term mechanism that adjusts the influence weights of agents based on historical case outcomes, enabling the system to adapt and trust more reliable specialists over time. (2) Discrepancy Feedback Precise Calibration (DFPC), a short-term mechanism where agents provide iterative feedback to resolve disagreements and eliminate prescription conflicts for the current patient. Experiments on patient records from the MIMIC-IV database show that PRISMATIC significantly reduces drug conflicts, improves prescription coverage, and enhances treatment consistency compared to strong LLM baselines. Our work demonstrates that structuring clinical co-treatment as a multi-agent coordination problem offers a promising path toward safer and more coherent multidisease management.

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arXiv AI Papers

MP-MNCA: Morphology-Prior Masked Neighbor Cross-Attention for Efficient Spatial Domain Identification

Spatial transcriptomics jointly captures molecular state, tissue morphology, and spatial organization, yet spatial-domain methods are typically compared only at late training checkpoints, obscuring differences in convergence efficiency. We introduce MP-MNCA, a morphology-prior masked neighbor cross-attention framework that preserves the full 3,000 dimensional highly-variable-gene representation while selectively routing molecular information across spatial neighbors, with histological similarity incorporated as a continuous attention prior under a self-supervised masked neighbor-contrastive objective. Across 12 heterogeneous human dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) sections, MP-MNCA is evaluated against established spatial-domain baselines using both convergence trajectories and epoch-wise spatial-domain visualizations. Our results show that MP-MNCA (i) reaches coherent spatial-domain structure in substantially fewer training epochs, as reflected quantitatively by convergence curves and qualitatively by progressive spatial grids, and (ii) maintains strong clustering quality, achieving a mean peak refined ARI of 0.546 versus 0.549 for the strongest baseline (STAIG), while attaining the highest mean refined NMI of 0.657 versus 0.640. Moreover, MP-MNCA outperforms STAIG on 7 of 12 sections in ARI and 11 of 12 in NMI, demonstrating faster convergence without sacrificing spatial-domain quality.

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arXiv AI Papers

EventLens: Event-Structure Reinforcement Learning for Video Understanding

Recent multimodal large language models (MLLMs) achieve strong results on video question answering, yet often fail to recover the temporal structure that makes a video coherent. They may merge neighboring events, miss single-event progression, or infer implausible relations across events. We study structured temporal understanding as the ability to recover event structure from visual evidence, including event boundaries, single-event progression, and multi-event relations. We argue that this gap arises from a mismatch between current post-training objectives and temporal reasoning, where caption-style supervision allows models to rely on language shortcuts rather than visual temporal grounding. To address this, we propose EventLens, a vision-centric reinforcement learning framework that learns video understanding through event-structure recovery. Instead of reconstructing captions, EventLens trains models to recover temporal structure under controlled perturbations, such as altered temporal granularity, reversed progression, and shuffled event order. We instantiate this framework with a three-level temporal ontology and derive three verifiable task families: event segmentation, progression discrimination, and multi-event relation reasoning. These tasks admit deterministic rewards, enabling task-specialized GRPO training without human preference labels or learned reward models. We further introduce multi-teacher on-policy distillation (MT-OPD) to consolidate specialized policies into a unified model. Experiments on Qwen3-VL backbones show consistent improvements on temporal grounding and event-sensitive reasoning benchmarks, while preserving general video-QA performance. Learning curves further demonstrate that EventLens achieves comparable downstream transfer with significantly reduced training cost compared to direct mixed RL optimization.

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arXiv AI Papers

The Sharp Directions Are Against You: Curvature Analysis of Activation Steering

Activation steering adds a vector to a language model's internal representations at inference time. It is a lightweight alternative to fine-tuning for behavioral control. The standard construction, contrastive activation addition (CAA), is fragile, as on many inputs it shifts behavior in the wrong direction. To explain this fragility, we first study the geometry of the steering vector. We introduce steering Hessian, the matrix of second order derivative of the model's behavioral loss with respect to the steering vector. It captures the output behavior response sensitivity of the model under small perturbations of the steering vector along each direction. Its top eigenvectors are sharp directions: tiny perturbations along them can cause large, erratic, input-dependent behavioral swings. Bottom eigenvectors are flat directions: behavior is robust along them. Removing the sharp component of a steering vector approximately preserves its direction and magnitude (cosine > 0.974, norm reduction < 3% for typical settings) while reducing the vector's directional curvature by up to 12x (median 4x across 36 conditions). We evaluate on three model families (Qwen2.5-7B, Llama-3.1-8B, Mistral-7B), with four behavioral tasks, and 36 token-level conditions. Steering along sharp directions reverses the intended behavior in every condition tested, with anti-steer rates of 53-100%. Sharp directions account for only 1-5% of the CAA vector's squared norm. However, they drive a disproportionate share of the gap between the steered and unsteered next-token distributions during autoregressive generation. We term this one-line correction as sharp removal; it outperforms standard CAA in open-ended generation across all 25 conditions tested. A jailbreaking experiment further shows that sharp directions act as noise rather than signal: they disrupt coherent behavioral control regardless of steering polarity.

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arXiv AI Papers

Bi-FORK: Generative Modeling of High-Dimensional Bifurcating Systems

Bifurcations are ubiquitous in physical systems, from structural buckling to fluid and climate dynamics, yet they remain largely unexplored in deep learning. At a symmetry-breaking bifurcation, a single input admits multiple equally valid solutions, violating the one-to-one assumption underlying most learned physical surrogates. We introduce Bi-FORK, a generative framework for learning these one-to-many solution maps in high-dimensional systems. Bi-FORK generates complete trajectories through latent flow matching, preserving space and time coherence, and uses repulsion-guided sampling to recover distinct solution branches in a single amortized pass. We evaluate Bi-FORK on buckling beams, mechanical metamaterials, and Allen-Cahn phase separation, spanning continuous, discrete, and field-valued bifurcations with discretizations up to 260,000 points. Bi-FORK recovers the multimodal solution structure while scaling several orders of magnitude beyond prior approaches, opening generative modeling to high-dimensional bifurcating physical systems.

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arXiv AI Papers

Validity Without Ground Truth: What Stated-Preference Economics Offers the Evaluation of Language Models

Many of the questions now put to large language models have no correct answer to score against: what a policy is worth, which option a user should choose, how to weigh competing values. Stated-preference economics has faced this problem for decades. It judges survey responses without knowing the true value, through a framework of validity and related concepts: content, construct, and criterion validity, reliability, incentive compatibility, and consequentiality. We argue that this framework is a general method for evaluating language models, and we set out what each concept means for LLM evaluation. We demonstrate the approach using a published water-quality stated preference economic valuation survey (Vossler et al. 2023) administered to six models. In this economic application, the validity tests take the form of predictions from economic theory: demand should slope down, and willingness to pay should respond to the scope of the good and to income. The tests separate the models sharply. Two older models fail the most basic test at a household income level of \$75,000, and the two newest pass every test of theoretical validity we can score, but diverge on convergent validity. Passing validity tests shows that a model's answers are coherent, not that they are correct.

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arXiv AI Papers

Before They Can Solve: Predicting Post-Training Coding-Agent Performance from Base Models

How can we predict which base checkpoint is worth an expensive round of agentic post-training? End-to-end pass@K tests whether successful behavior already appears in a base model's distribution, but it is a poor fit for agentic coding: many base checkpoints cannot reliably produce the well-formed tool invocation required to complete a task end-to-end. Single-shot or short-horizon tasks avoid these tool-calling failures by collapsing a multi-step interaction into a fixed prompt and a single patch, but they sidestep the core capability we care about: maintaining coherent state over many tool-using steps as the repository evolves. To bridge this gap, we treat successful post-trained agent trajectories as a lookahead signal of base-model potential. Replaying each trajectory and rerunning tests after every code-changing step identifies the decisive step: the first step whose cumulative patch flips the repository from failing to passing, certifying that the recorded action solves the task given the prior context. Motivated by a coverage principle for agentic traces, we build three screens at this step that do not require a base checkpoint to drive the harness from a cold start: (i) Decisive-Action BPB (bits per byte) measures the probability mass on the certified action, (ii) Patch MCQ tests the checkpoint's choice between that action and alternatives rejected by the same verifier, and (iii) prefix-conditioned pass@K evaluates support for functionally-correct generations and credits any continuation that the tests accept. Across ten pairs of public base and post-trained models, all three screens rank the cohort in close agreement with post-trained SWE-bench Verified pass@1. As our methods need only a benchmark's successful trajectories and its verifier, they can be applied to turn future agentic coding benchmarks into base-model evaluations.

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arXiv AI Papers

Document-Level Text Simplification in Estonian Using Large Language Models

Document-level text simplification involves transformations that go beyond sentence-internal edits, addressing discourse coherence, anaphora resolution, and cross-paragraph consistency. Despite advances in sentence-level simplification for high-resource languages, document-level simplification in morphologically rich, low-resource languages such as Estonian remains largely unexplored. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of five state-of-the-art multilingual large language models (LLMs) for document-level simplification in Estonian. Three prompting strategies are examined: single-pass generation, pipeline-based modular agents, and guideline-augmented pipelines. The evaluation framework integrates automatic metrics assessing readability, semantic preservation, and discourse coherence, alongside a structured manual annotation protocol. The findings indicate that Gemini-2.0 and LLaMA-3.3 produce outputs with near-native fluency and strong meaning preservation, whereas other models display notable grammatical and semantic limitations. This work contributes novel document-level coherence metrics, evidence-based prompting strategies, and publicly available resources for reproducibility.

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arXiv AI Papers

MUNITE: Unified Multimodal Latent Inference for Any-to-Any Multimodal Generation

We introduce MUNITE, a latent-variable framework for flexible any-to-any multimodal generation that treats encoding and latent generation as the same inference problem under different amounts of observed evidence. Given any subset of modalities, MUNITE models the conditional distribution over the latent representation associated with the complete observation. Full observation recovers deterministic encoding, no observation recovers the latent marginal, and intermediate subsets define conditional latent inference, all within a single conditional flow model. A shared latent sample captures variation that must remain consistent across generated targets, while modality-specific generative decoders model the remaining uncertainty independently. To learn these conditional distributions from incomplete training examples, we extend conditional flow matching through self-distillation: predictions conditioned on richer available observations supervise the same model conditioned on smaller subsets at the same intermediate latent state. When the richer-evidence trajectory follows the exact conditional flow, this provides the same expected learning signal as full-target denoising. Across PolyMNIST-D-Q, FFHQ64, and image-text-audio, MUNITE achieves competitive or better generation quality and source-target alignment, with higher joint-generation coherence. In particular, it attains the highest coherence in all one-to-many and unconditional image-text-audio comparisons, showing the effectiveness of unified latent inference across diverse multimodal settings.

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arXiv AI Papers

Beyond Waypoint Regression: Query-Based Cost Learning over Reachable Ego Futures for End-to-End Driving

End-to-end planners based on waypoint regression achieve strong open-loop accuracy, but they primarily learn to mimic expert geometry and remain difficult to adapt to deployment-time safety constraints. We propose a query-based cost-learning framework that estimates bounded costs for dynamically reachable ego trajectory queries, rather than dense BEV cells or a small regressed trajectory set. Compact joint scene tokens capture coherent multimodal agent futures, while contingency-aware cost aggregation and cost-guided intra-cluster MPPI mixing convert the learned cost topology into feasible ego plans. On nuScenes, our method improves over prior cost-estimation planners such as ST-P3 and NMP, outperforms most regression baselines in collision rate, while remaining competitive in L2, and retaining an interpretable cost interface. On real-world driving logs, the proposed planner reduces collision rates compared with SparseDrive and Alpamayo without fine-tuning, while maintaining a diverse set of candidate trajectories.

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arXiv AI Papers

Optimization Encoders: Rethinking Second-Order Meta-Learning for Neural Fields

Conditional neural fields represent signals continuously, but their effectiveness depends on how the conditional latent representations are inferred from observed data. In meta-learning, this encoding occurs through gradient updates induced by the decoder, tying representation learning directly to decoder design. We formalize this connection by interpreting latent optimization as an optimization encoder, unifying the roles of second-order differentiation, latent parameterization, and task supervision. This concept enables second-order meta-learning for end-to-end training of the encoding procedure alongside the decoder, and clarifies which learning pathway first-order approximations discard. Guided by this view, we introduce Attentive Latent Fields (MetaLF), an equivariant transformer-based neural field that contextualizes a latent pointcloud through self-attention. These interactions shape both field predictions and the updates that construct their representation, allowing local observations to inform coherent non-local structure. Disentangling the inner encoding objective from outer task supervision unifies reconstruction, classification, and segmentation within an end-to-end meta-learning framework, using reconstruction-only latent adaptation at test time. Controlled experiments on polynomial fields link latent coordination to lower effective rank and stronger alignment with the underlying function space. Across image and 3D shape reconstruction, MetaLF improves fidelity within three to five gradient updates, while supporting semantic prediction across images, shapes, and volumes. Together, these findings position the optimization encoder perspective as a unified basis for designing neural fields around how representations are constructed, coordinated, and used.

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arXiv AI Papers

Language Models that Play Chess and Explain Their Moves

Modern chess engines are silent experts: they play at a superhuman level, but do not offer explanations for their play. On the other hand, language models (LMs) can generate plausible-sounding explanations, but their weak playing strength limits the utility of their explanations. We introduce Queen, a 4B-parameter chess-language model that can explain its moves and plans while playing at the level of a typical Grandmaster. Our novel framework enables domain-specific reasoning through complementary components: an encoder-decoder architecture and an iterative distillation algorithm. This architecture integrates a silent expert chess encoder with an instruction-tuned LM through cross-attention, which we train via a question-answering curriculum to extract chess concepts from the encoder's representations. Building on this domain-adapted model, we iteratively improve its explanations with a natural-language analog of the Bellman update: the model analyzes the positions after its top candidate moves and consolidates them into an explanation of the current position, which is then distilled back into the model. Over seven iterations, our model gains over 900 Elo points (1782 to 2697), substantially surpassing all frontier models on both playing strength and puzzle accuracy, despite containing three orders of magnitude fewer parameters. Furthermore, LM-based evaluations show that our explanations are fluent and approach GPT-5.6-Sol (high) in coherence. The generality of our architecture and training procedure suggests a recipe for applying language models to domains where silent expert encoders are available, like games, robotics, and computer use.

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arXiv AI Papers

Learning to Assess Heartbeat Observability for mmWave Heart-Rate Sensing

Contactless heart-rate sensing with millimeter-wave (mmWave) radar requires assessing whether individual measurements support reliable estimation. We study learning to assess heartbeat observability, defined as the readability of the heartbeat component in an acquired phase spectrum, for selective heart-rate estimation. Coherent superposition of scatterer returns can suppress this component even under similar macroscopic observation geometry, motivating assessment directly from acquired measurements. To obtain training supervision across different observability conditions, we develop a controllable multi-scatterer frequency-modulated continuous-wave (FMCW) simulator. Agreement between the dominant heartbeat-band peak and the known heart rate provides an automatic observability label for each simulated measurement. We propose HEAR (Heartbeat Estimation with Assessed Reliability), a compact dual-task Transformer that jointly predicts an observability score and heart rate. Its input combines spectral magnitudes with frequencies relative to the respiration fundamental, providing context for respiratory harmonics. Trained solely on simulated observations, HEAR transfers zero-shot to two public real-world datasets collected at 60 and 120 GHz from 134 subjects. The same learned score supports selective prediction with both HEAR's own heart-rate head and multiple existing estimators. On the 120 GHz dataset, score-based selection reduces the HR head's mean absolute error from 17.9 BPM at full coverage to 1.6 BPM at 50% coverage. The complete pipeline achieves an end-to-end processing latency of 50.8 ms on an edge device. Project page: https://yuxuanhu9.github.io/HEAR/.

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